Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.911.782.68safe0.00–1.880.92–2.630.86–4.51safer0.00–2.130.69–2.860.38–4.99
Shots on target
26%
13%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.344.597.93safe1.47–5.202.85–6.334.32–11.53safer0.98–5.692.38–6.803.37–12.49
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6713.2324.90safe7.74–15.599.67–16.7917.41–32.39safer6.65–16.688.71–17.7515.36–34.44
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction6.968.8715.83safe4.02–9.916.19–11.5510.21–21.46safer3.19–10.745.45–12.298.64–23.02
Blocked shots
35%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.757.02safe1.39–5.152.10–5.403.48–10.55safer0.84–5.701.60–5.892.45–11.59
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.319.61safe2.08–6.503.31–7.315.39–13.82safer1.50–7.082.78–7.854.29–14.93
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction41.0159.10safe34.22–47.8052.32–65.89safer32.55–49.4750.65–67.56
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction342474816safe275–410407–540683–950safer257–428390–558647–986
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction62.1974.27safe58.16–66.2269.95–78.59safer56.87–67.5168.64–79.90
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4612.8626.32safe10.62–16.309.91–15.8020.54–32.10safer9.87–17.069.16–16.5519.03–33.61
Offsides
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.532.79safe0.10–2.420.44–2.620.54–5.05safer0.00–2.730.15–2.910.00–5.64
Yellow cards
44%
19%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.392.184.57safe1.34–3.441.05–3.312.39–6.75safer1.08–3.710.76–3.601.83–7.31
Red cards
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.120.30safe0.03–0.350.00–0.300.00–0.65safer0.00–0.500.00–0.440.00–0.93
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.505.65safe1.71–4.590.94–4.052.66–8.64safer1.33–4.970.52–4.481.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 19% 23% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.34 1.47–5.20 0.98–5.69 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 7.93 4.32–11.53 3.37–12.49 | 26% 13% 60% |
| Total shots | 11.67 7.74–15.59 6.65–16.68 | 13.23 9.67–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 24.90 17.41–32.39 15.36–34.44 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 6.96 4.02–9.91 3.19–10.74 | 8.87 6.19–11.55 5.45–12.29 | 15.83 10.21–21.46 8.64–23.02 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.15 0.84–5.70 | 3.75 2.10–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.45–11.59 | 35% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.08–6.50 1.50–7.08 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.78–7.85 | 9.61 5.39–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 41.01 34.22–47.80 32.55–49.47 | 59.10 52.32–65.89 50.65–67.56 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 342 275–410 257–428 | 474 407–540 390–558 | 816 683–950 647–986 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.19 58.16–66.22 56.87–67.51 | 74.27 69.95–78.59 68.64–79.90 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.62–16.30 9.87–17.06 | 12.86 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.55 | 26.32 20.54–32.10 19.03–33.61 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.26 0.10–2.42 0.00–2.73 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 2.79 0.54–5.05 0.00–5.64 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.39 1.34–3.44 1.08–3.71 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.57 2.39–6.75 1.83–7.31 | 44% 19% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 15% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.59 1.33–4.97 | 2.50 0.94–4.05 0.52–4.48 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.