Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.242.53safe0.32–2.260.39–2.090.71–4.35safer0.07–2.510.16–2.320.23–4.83
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.118.53safe2.55–6.282.37–5.864.92–12.13safer2.06–6.771.90–6.323.97–13.09
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2711.7026.97safe11.34–19.198.14–15.2619.48–34.45safer10.25–20.287.18–16.2217.43–36.51
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.607.8616.46safe5.66–11.545.18–10.5510.84–22.09safer4.83–12.374.45–11.289.27–23.65
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.096.89safe1.91–5.681.44–4.753.35–10.42safer1.37–6.220.95–5.242.32–11.46
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.299.77safe3.26–7.692.29–6.295.55–13.98safer2.69–8.261.75–6.824.45–15.09
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.8043.67safe49.01–62.5936.89–50.46safer47.34–64.2635.22–52.13
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction455341796safe387–522274–407662–929safer369–540257–425626–965
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction72.6770.23safe68.64–76.7065.91–74.56safer67.35–77.9964.60–75.87
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2813.2325.51safe9.44–15.1210.29–16.1819.73–31.30safer8.69–15.879.54–16.9318.23–32.80
Offsides
35%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.522.91safe0.23–2.550.43–2.610.65–5.16safer0.00–2.850.14–2.900.07–5.75
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.504.31safe0.75–2.851.37–3.632.13–6.48safer0.49–3.121.08–3.921.57–7.04
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
38%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.135.99safe1.43–4.301.57–4.683.00–8.99safer1.04–4.691.15–5.112.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.24 0.39–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.28 2.06–6.77 | 4.11 2.37–5.86 1.90–6.32 | 8.53 4.92–12.13 3.97–13.09 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 15.27 11.34–19.19 10.25–20.28 | 11.70 8.14–15.26 7.18–16.22 | 26.97 19.48–34.45 17.43–36.51 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 8.60 5.66–11.54 4.83–12.37 | 7.86 5.18–10.55 4.45–11.28 | 16.46 10.84–22.09 9.27–23.65 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.68 1.37–6.22 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.89 3.35–10.42 2.32–11.46 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.26 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.75–6.82 | 9.77 5.55–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 55.80 49.01–62.59 47.34–64.26 | 43.67 36.89–50.46 35.22–52.13 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 455 387–522 369–540 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 796 662–929 626–965 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.67 68.64–76.70 67.35–77.99 | 70.23 65.91–74.56 64.60–75.87 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.28 9.44–15.12 8.69–15.87 | 13.23 10.29–16.18 9.54–16.93 | 25.51 19.73–31.30 18.23–32.80 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 2.91 0.65–5.16 0.07–5.75 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.50 1.37–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 4.31 2.13–6.48 1.57–7.04 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 38% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+