Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.162.50safe0.38–2.310.30–2.010.68–4.32safer0.13–2.570.07–2.240.20–4.80
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.238.76safe2.67–6.392.48–5.975.15–12.36safer2.18–6.882.02–6.434.19–13.32
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8712.8225.69safe8.95–16.799.26–16.3918.21–33.18safer7.85–17.898.30–17.3516.16–35.23
Shots in box
45%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction7.627.5615.18safe4.68–10.564.88–10.249.56–20.80safer3.85–11.394.14–10.987.99–22.37
Blocked shots
40%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.246.39safe1.27–5.031.59–4.902.86–9.93safer0.72–5.571.10–5.391.82–10.96
Corners
47%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.609.51safe2.70–7.132.60–6.605.30–13.73safer2.13–7.702.07–7.134.19–14.83
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction52.0548.87safe45.26–58.8442.09–55.66safer43.59–60.5140.42–57.33
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction436417853safe369–503351–484719–987safer351–521333–501684–1023
Pass accuracy %
41%
53%
homeawayprediction71.9673.14safe67.94–75.9968.82–77.46safer66.64–77.2967.51–78.77
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7514.5027.25safe9.92–15.5911.55–17.4421.47–33.04safer9.16–16.3510.81–18.1919.97–34.54
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.382.98safe0.44–2.760.29–2.470.72–5.23safer0.14–3.060.00–2.760.14–5.82
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.244.27safe0.98–3.081.11–3.362.09–6.44safer0.72–3.350.82–3.661.53–7.00
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.176.00safe1.39–4.261.62–4.733.00–8.99safer1.00–4.651.19–5.152.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.57 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 4.23 2.48–5.97 2.02–6.43 | 8.76 5.15–12.36 4.19–13.32 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 12.87 8.95–16.79 7.85–17.89 | 12.82 9.26–16.39 8.30–17.35 | 25.69 18.21–33.18 16.16–35.23 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 7.62 4.68–10.56 3.85–11.39 | 7.56 4.88–10.24 4.14–10.98 | 15.18 9.56–20.80 7.99–22.37 | 45% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.27–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 3.24 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 6.39 2.86–9.93 1.82–10.96 | 40% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.91 2.70–7.13 2.13–7.70 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.13 | 9.51 5.30–13.73 4.19–14.83 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 52.05 45.26–58.84 43.59–60.51 | 48.87 42.09–55.66 40.42–57.33 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 417 351–484 333–501 | 853 719–987 684–1023 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.96 67.94–75.99 66.64–77.29 | 73.14 68.82–77.46 67.51–78.77 | — | 41% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 14.50 11.55–17.44 10.81–18.19 | 27.25 21.47–33.04 19.97–34.54 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 2.98 0.72–5.23 0.14–5.82 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.24 1.11–3.36 0.82–3.66 | 4.27 2.09–6.44 1.53–7.00 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.17 1.62–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.