Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.110.693.80safe2.14–4.080.00–1.541.97–5.62safer1.89–4.330.00–1.771.49–6.10
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.032.8010.83safe6.17–9.901.06–4.547.23–14.44safer5.68–10.390.59–5.016.27–15.39
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.088.1829.26safe17.15–25.004.62–11.7421.77–36.75safer16.06–26.093.66–12.7019.72–38.80
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.854.5219.37safe11.91–17.801.84–7.2013.75–25.00safer11.08–18.621.10–7.9412.18–26.56
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.461.867.32safe3.58–7.340.20–3.513.78–10.85safer3.03–7.880.00–4.002.75–11.89
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.893.0810.97safe5.68–10.111.08–5.086.76–15.19safer5.11–10.680.55–5.615.65–16.29
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.7137.51safe55.92–69.5030.73–44.30safer54.25–71.1729.06–45.97
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction599372971safe531–666306–439837–1105safer513–684288–456802–1140
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction82.8673.43safe78.83–86.8969.11–77.76safer77.53–88.1867.80–79.07
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6113.1223.73safe7.77–13.4510.18–16.0717.95–29.51safer7.02–14.219.43–16.8116.45–31.02
Offsides
48%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.152.75safe0.43–2.750.06–2.240.49–5.00safer0.13–3.060.00–2.530.00–5.59
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.263.64safe0.33–2.431.13–3.391.46–5.81safer0.06–2.690.84–3.680.90–6.37
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.065.017.07safe0.62–3.493.45–6.564.07–10.06safer0.23–3.883.03–6.993.26–10.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.11 2.14–4.08 1.89–4.33 | 0.69 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 3.80 1.97–5.62 1.49–6.10 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 8.03 6.17–9.90 5.68–10.39 | 2.80 1.06–4.54 0.59–5.01 | 10.83 7.23–14.44 6.27–15.39 | 93% |
| Total shots | 21.08 17.15–25.00 16.06–26.09 | 8.18 4.62–11.74 3.66–12.70 | 29.26 21.77–36.75 19.72–38.80 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.85 11.91–17.80 11.08–18.62 | 4.52 1.84–7.20 1.10–7.94 | 19.37 13.75–25.00 12.18–26.56 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.46 3.58–7.34 3.03–7.88 | 1.86 0.20–3.51 0.00–4.00 | 7.32 3.78–10.85 2.75–11.89 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.89 5.68–10.11 5.11–10.68 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.61 | 10.97 6.76–15.19 5.65–16.29 | 91% |
| Possession % | 62.71 55.92–69.50 54.25–71.17 | 37.51 30.73–44.30 29.06–45.97 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 599 531–666 513–684 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 971 837–1105 802–1140 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.86 78.83–86.89 77.53–88.18 | 73.43 69.11–77.76 67.80–79.07 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.45 7.02–14.21 | 13.12 10.18–16.07 9.43–16.81 | 23.73 17.95–29.51 16.45–31.02 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.06 | 1.15 0.06–2.24 0.00–2.53 | 2.75 0.49–5.00 0.00–5.59 | 48% 25% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.64 1.46–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.62–3.49 0.23–3.88 | 5.01 3.45–6.56 3.03–6.99 | 7.07 4.07–10.06 3.26–10.87 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+