Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.332.56safe0.26–2.190.48–2.190.74–4.38safer0.00–2.440.25–2.420.26–4.86
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.559.24safe2.83–6.552.81–6.295.63–12.84safer2.34–7.042.34–6.764.68–13.80
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9113.2428.14safe10.98–18.839.68–16.8020.66–35.63safer9.89–19.928.72–17.7618.61–37.68
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.689.2917.97safe5.74–11.626.61–11.9712.34–23.59safer4.91–12.455.87–12.7110.78–25.16
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.767.61safe1.97–5.732.10–5.414.07–11.14safer1.42–6.281.61–5.903.04–12.18
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.9210.15safe3.02–7.452.92–6.925.94–14.37safer2.45–8.022.38–7.454.83–15.47
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.8356.73safe37.04–50.6249.95–63.52safer35.37–52.2948.28–65.19
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction362467829safe295–429401–534696–963safer277–448383–551660–999
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction66.3375.19safe62.30–70.3670.87–79.52safer61.01–71.6569.56–80.83
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1013.7826.88safe10.26–15.9410.84–16.7321.10–32.66safer9.51–16.6910.09–17.4719.59–34.17
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.473.25safe0.62–2.940.37–2.561.00–5.50safer0.32–3.250.08–2.850.41–6.09
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.304.58safe1.23–3.331.17–3.432.40–6.75safer0.96–3.590.88–3.721.84–7.31
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.27safe0.00–0.300.00–0.320.00–0.61safer0.00–0.450.00–0.450.00–0.90
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.236.18safe1.52–4.391.67–4.783.19–9.18safer1.13–4.781.25–5.212.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.55 2.34–7.04 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 9.24 5.63–12.84 4.68–13.80 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.91 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 13.24 9.68–16.80 8.72–17.76 | 28.14 20.66–35.63 18.61–37.68 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.62 4.91–12.45 | 9.29 6.61–11.97 5.87–12.71 | 17.97 12.34–23.59 10.78–25.16 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.42–6.28 | 3.76 2.10–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.38–7.45 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 43.83 37.04–50.62 35.37–52.29 | 56.73 49.95–63.52 48.28–65.19 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 362 295–429 277–448 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 829 696–963 660–999 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.33 62.30–70.36 61.01–71.65 | 75.19 70.87–79.52 69.56–80.83 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.26–15.94 9.51–16.69 | 13.78 10.84–16.73 10.09–17.47 | 26.88 21.10–32.66 19.59–34.17 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.25 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.59 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.58 2.40–6.75 1.84–7.31 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 3.23 1.67–4.78 1.25–5.21 | 6.18 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.