Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 32·
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.772.473.24safe0.00–1.741.61–3.321.41–5.06safer0.00–1.991.38–3.550.93–5.54
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.866.529.38safe0.99–4.724.78–8.265.77–12.98safer0.50–5.214.31–8.734.82–13.94
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7516.7626.51safe5.82–13.6713.20–20.3219.02–34.00safer4.73–14.7612.24–21.2816.97–36.05
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.2311.5916.82safe2.29–8.188.91–14.2711.20–22.45safer1.46–9.018.17–15.019.63–24.01
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.794.647.43safe0.91–4.672.98–6.293.89–10.96safer0.37–5.222.49–6.782.86–12.00
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.066.119.17safe0.85–5.274.11–8.114.96–13.39safer0.27–5.853.58–8.653.85–14.49
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.5963.12safe29.80–43.3856.33–69.90safer28.13–45.0554.66–71.57
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction358599957safe291–426532–665823–1091safer273–444515–683788–1126
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction66.3882.63safe62.35–70.4178.30–86.95safer61.06–71.7076.99–88.26
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1711.7723.94safe9.33–15.018.83–14.7218.16–29.73safer8.58–15.768.08–15.4716.66–31.23
Offsides
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.263.64safe0.22–2.541.17–3.361.39–5.90safer0.00–2.840.88–3.650.80–6.49
Yellow cards
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.654.16safe1.46–3.560.52–2.781.98–6.34safer1.19–3.820.23–3.071.43–6.90
Red cards
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.210.090.31safe0.05–0.380.00–0.280.00–0.65safer0.00–0.530.00–0.410.00–0.94
GK saves
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.156.25safe2.67–5.540.60–3.713.26–9.25safer2.28–5.920.17–4.132.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.77 0.00–1.74 0.00–1.99 | 2.47 1.61–3.32 1.38–3.55 | 3.24 1.41–5.06 0.93–5.54 | 16% 75% |
| Shots on target | 2.86 0.99–4.72 0.50–5.21 | 6.52 4.78–8.26 4.31–8.73 | 9.38 5.77–12.98 4.82–13.94 | 85% |
| Total shots | 9.75 5.82–13.67 4.73–14.76 | 16.76 13.20–20.32 12.24–21.28 | 26.51 19.02–34.00 16.97–36.05 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.23 2.29–8.18 1.46–9.01 | 11.59 8.91–14.27 8.17–15.01 | 16.82 11.20–22.45 9.63–24.01 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.79 0.91–4.67 0.37–5.22 | 4.64 2.98–6.29 2.49–6.78 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 3.06 0.85–5.27 0.27–5.85 | 6.11 4.11–8.11 3.58–8.65 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 80% |
| Possession % | 36.59 29.80–43.38 28.13–45.05 | 63.12 56.33–69.90 54.66–71.57 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 358 291–426 273–444 | 599 532–665 515–683 | 957 823–1091 788–1126 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.38 62.35–70.41 61.06–71.70 | 82.63 78.30–86.95 76.99–88.26 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.17 9.33–15.01 8.58–15.76 | 11.77 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.47 | 23.94 18.16–29.73 16.66–31.23 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.84 | 2.26 1.17–3.36 0.88–3.65 | 3.64 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 2.51 1.46–3.56 1.19–3.82 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.21 0.05–0.38 0.00–0.53 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 18% 75% |
| GK saves | 4.10 2.67–5.54 2.28–5.92 | 2.15 0.60–3.71 0.17–4.13 | 6.25 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 72% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.