Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.872.70safe0.86–2.800.01–1.720.88–4.52safer0.61–3.050.00–1.950.40–5.00
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.562.938.49safe3.70–7.421.19–4.674.89–12.10safer3.21–7.910.72–5.143.93–13.05
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction15.649.0124.65safe11.72–19.575.45–12.5717.17–32.14safer10.63–20.664.49–13.5315.12–34.19
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.945.4416.39safe8.00–13.892.76–8.1210.76–22.01safer7.17–14.712.03–8.869.20–23.58
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.536.63safe2.22–5.980.87–4.183.09–10.16safer1.68–6.530.38–4.672.06–11.20
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.163.539.69safe3.95–8.381.53–5.535.48–13.91safer3.38–8.951.00–6.064.37–15.01
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.6345.15safe48.84–62.4238.37–51.94safer47.17–64.0936.70–53.61
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction479384863safe412–547318–450730–997safer394–565300–468694–1033
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction74.1071.95safe70.07–78.1367.62–76.27safer68.77–79.4266.31–77.58
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7312.9126.64safe10.90–16.579.96–15.8520.86–32.42safer10.14–17.339.21–16.6019.35–33.93
Offsides
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.062.75safe0.53–2.850.00–2.150.50–5.00safer0.23–3.150.00–2.440.00–5.59
Yellow cards
35%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.284.27safe0.94–3.041.16–3.412.09–6.45safer0.67–3.300.86–3.701.54–7.01
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.113.745.84safe0.67–3.542.18–5.292.85–8.84safer0.28–3.931.76–5.722.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 60% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.56 3.70–7.42 3.21–7.91 | 2.93 1.19–4.67 0.72–5.14 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.05 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 15.64 11.72–19.57 10.63–20.66 | 9.01 5.45–12.57 4.49–13.53 | 24.65 17.17–32.14 15.12–34.19 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.94 8.00–13.89 7.17–14.71 | 5.44 2.76–8.12 2.03–8.86 | 16.39 10.76–22.01 9.20–23.58 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.68–6.53 | 2.53 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.63 3.09–10.16 2.06–11.20 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 3.53 1.53–5.53 1.00–6.06 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 55.63 48.84–62.42 47.17–64.09 | 45.15 38.37–51.94 36.70–53.61 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 479 412–547 394–565 | 384 318–450 300–468 | 863 730–997 694–1033 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.10 70.07–78.13 68.77–79.42 | 71.95 67.62–76.27 66.31–77.58 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 13.73 10.90–16.57 10.14–17.33 | 12.91 9.96–15.85 9.21–16.60 | 26.64 20.86–32.42 19.35–33.93 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.06 0.00–2.15 0.00–2.44 | 2.75 0.50–5.00 0.00–5.59 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.28 1.16–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 35% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.11 0.67–3.54 0.28–3.93 | 3.74 2.18–5.29 1.76–5.72 | 5.84 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.