Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.562.73safe0.20–2.140.71–2.420.91–4.55safer0.00–2.390.48–2.650.43–5.03
Shots on target
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.668.52safe1.99–5.722.92–6.404.91–12.12safer1.51–6.212.45–6.873.96–13.08
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0214.2626.27safe8.09–15.9410.69–17.8218.79–33.76safer7.00–17.039.74–18.7816.74–35.81
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction6.839.2316.06safe3.88–9.776.55–11.9110.44–21.68safer3.05–10.605.81–12.658.87–23.25
Blocked shots
33%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.606.58safe1.11–4.871.94–5.253.05–10.12safer0.56–5.421.45–5.742.01–11.16
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.139.62safe2.27–6.703.13–7.135.41–13.83safer1.70–7.272.60–7.674.30–14.94
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction50.3050.25safe43.51–57.0943.47–57.04safer41.84–58.7641.80–58.71
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction430401830safe362–497334–467697–964safer344–515317–485661–1000
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction67.7471.01safe63.71–71.7766.68–75.33safer62.42–73.0665.37–76.64
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6112.9126.52safe10.77–16.459.96–15.8520.74–32.30safer10.01–17.209.22–16.6019.23–33.80
Offsides
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.452.82safe0.21–2.530.36–2.550.57–5.07safer0.00–2.830.07–2.830.00–5.66
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.064.24safe1.13–3.220.93–3.192.06–6.42safer0.86–3.490.64–3.481.50–6.97
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.26safe0.00–0.270.00–0.340.00–0.61safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.89
GK saves
50%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.635.79safe1.72–4.591.07–4.192.79–8.78safer1.33–4.980.65–4.611.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 28% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 1.99–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 4.66 2.92–6.40 2.45–6.87 | 8.52 4.91–12.12 3.96–13.08 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.02 8.09–15.94 7.00–17.03 | 14.26 10.69–17.82 9.74–18.78 | 26.27 18.79–33.76 16.74–35.81 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 6.83 3.88–9.77 3.05–10.60 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.65 | 16.06 10.44–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 2.99 1.11–4.87 0.56–5.42 | 3.60 1.94–5.25 1.45–5.74 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.16 | 33% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.60–7.67 | 9.62 5.41–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 50.30 43.51–57.09 41.84–58.76 | 50.25 43.47–57.04 41.80–58.71 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 430 362–497 344–515 | 401 334–467 317–485 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.74 63.71–71.77 62.42–73.06 | 71.01 66.68–75.33 65.37–76.64 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.61 10.77–16.45 10.01–17.20 | 12.91 9.96–15.85 9.22–16.60 | 26.52 20.74–32.30 19.23–33.80 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.45 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.83 | 2.82 0.57–5.07 0.00–5.66 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.50–6.97 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.63 1.07–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 5.79 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 50% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+