Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.282.63safe0.39–2.320.42–2.130.81–4.45safer0.14–2.570.19–2.360.33–4.93
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.128.60safe2.61–6.342.38–5.875.00–12.21safer2.12–6.831.92–6.334.04–13.16
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2312.5025.73safe9.31–17.168.93–16.0618.24–33.22safer8.22–18.257.97–17.0216.19–35.27
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.757.5716.32safe5.80–11.694.89–10.2510.69–21.94safer4.98–12.524.15–10.999.13–23.51
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.366.89safe1.64–5.411.71–5.023.35–10.42safer1.10–5.951.22–5.512.32–11.46
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.549.84safe3.09–7.512.54–6.545.63–14.05safer2.51–8.092.01–7.074.52–15.16
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.4252.79safe39.63–53.2146.00–59.57safer37.96–54.8844.33–61.25
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction414463877safe347–481397–529743–1011safer329–499379–547708–1046
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction68.1471.62safe64.11–72.1767.30–75.94safer62.82–73.4665.99–77.25
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8311.4124.24safe9.99–15.678.46–14.3518.45–30.02safer9.23–16.427.71–15.1016.95–31.52
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.433.53safe0.94–3.260.33–2.521.27–5.78safer0.64–3.560.05–2.810.68–6.37
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.663.27safe0.56–2.660.53–2.791.09–5.45safer0.29–2.920.24–3.080.54–6.01
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.965.90safe1.51–4.381.40–4.512.91–8.89safer1.12–4.770.98–4.942.10–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.57 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 4.12 2.38–5.87 1.92–6.33 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.23 9.31–17.16 8.22–18.25 | 12.50 8.93–16.06 7.97–17.02 | 25.73 18.24–33.22 16.19–35.27 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.75 5.80–11.69 4.98–12.52 | 7.57 4.89–10.25 4.15–10.99 | 16.32 10.69–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.36 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 6.89 3.35–10.42 2.32–11.46 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.09–7.51 2.51–8.09 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.01–7.07 | 9.84 5.63–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 46.42 39.63–53.21 37.96–54.88 | 52.79 46.00–59.57 44.33–61.25 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 329–499 | 463 397–529 379–547 | 877 743–1011 708–1046 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.14 64.11–72.17 62.82–73.46 | 71.62 67.30–75.94 65.99–77.25 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.67 9.23–16.42 | 11.41 8.46–14.35 7.71–15.10 | 24.24 18.45–30.02 16.95–31.52 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.96 1.40–4.51 0.98–4.94 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.70 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+