Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.792.83safe1.08–3.010.00–1.641.01–4.65safer0.82–3.260.00–1.870.53–5.13
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.882.728.60safe4.02–7.740.98–4.475.00–12.21safer3.53–8.230.51–4.934.04–13.16
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.319.0325.34safe12.39–20.245.46–12.5917.85–32.83safer11.30–21.334.50–13.5515.80–34.88
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.465.1015.56safe7.52–13.402.42–7.789.93–21.18safer6.69–14.231.68–8.518.37–22.75
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.656.75safe2.21–5.981.00–4.313.21–10.28safer1.67–6.520.51–4.802.18–11.32
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.302.969.26safe4.09–8.510.96–4.965.05–13.47safer3.51–9.090.43–5.503.94–14.58
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.5738.03safe54.78–68.3631.24–44.81safer53.11–70.0329.57–46.49
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction613372985safe546–681306–439852–1119safer528–699288–456816–1155
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction77.0870.39safe73.05–81.1166.06–74.71safer71.76–82.4064.75–76.02
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1712.8324.00safe8.33–14.019.88–15.7718.22–29.78safer7.58–14.779.13–16.5216.71–31.29
Offsides
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.263.12safe0.70–3.020.17–2.350.87–5.37safer0.40–3.320.00–2.640.28–5.96
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.973.53safe0.51–2.610.84–3.101.35–5.71safer0.25–2.880.55–3.390.79–6.27
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
17%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.013.795.80safe0.58–3.452.23–5.352.81–8.79safer0.19–3.841.81–5.772.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.08–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.79 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Shots on target | 5.88 4.02–7.74 3.53–8.23 | 2.72 0.98–4.47 0.51–4.93 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 82% |
| Total shots | 16.31 12.39–20.24 11.30–21.33 | 9.03 5.46–12.59 4.50–13.55 | 25.34 17.85–32.83 15.80–34.88 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.46 7.52–13.40 6.69–14.23 | 5.10 2.42–7.78 1.68–8.51 | 15.56 9.93–21.18 8.37–22.75 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.21–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 2.65 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 6.75 3.21–10.28 2.18–11.32 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.09–8.51 3.51–9.09 | 2.96 0.96–4.96 0.43–5.50 | 9.26 5.05–13.47 3.94–14.58 | 83% |
| Possession % | 61.57 54.78–68.36 53.11–70.03 | 38.03 31.24–44.81 29.57–46.49 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 613 546–681 528–699 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 985 852–1119 816–1155 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.08 73.05–81.11 71.76–82.40 | 70.39 66.06–74.71 64.75–76.02 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 11.17 8.33–14.01 7.58–14.77 | 12.83 9.88–15.77 9.13–16.52 | 24.00 18.22–29.78 16.71–31.29 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.26 0.17–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.12 0.87–5.37 0.28–5.96 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.27 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 3.79 2.23–5.35 1.81–5.77 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 2.00–9.61 | 17% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.