Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.820.972.78safe0.85–2.790.11–1.820.96–4.60safer0.60–3.040.00–2.050.48–5.08
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.503.388.87safe3.63–7.361.64–5.125.27–12.48safer3.14–7.851.17–5.594.31–13.43
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9310.1026.02safe12.00–19.856.54–13.6618.54–33.51safer10.91–20.945.58–14.6216.49–35.56
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.596.2116.80safe7.65–13.533.53–8.8911.18–22.43safer6.82–14.362.80–9.639.61–23.99
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.402.376.77safe2.51–6.280.72–4.023.23–10.30safer1.97–6.820.23–4.522.20–11.34
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.523.6310.15safe4.30–8.731.63–5.635.94–14.37safer3.73–9.311.10–6.174.83–15.47
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.4539.10safe53.66–67.2432.31–45.88safer51.99–68.9130.64–47.55
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction498300798safe430–565234–367664–932safer412–583216–384629–967
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction76.3069.37safe72.27–80.3365.04–73.69safer70.97–81.6263.73–75.00
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4914.3426.83safe9.65–15.3311.40–17.2921.05–32.62safer8.90–16.0810.65–18.0419.55–34.12
Offsides
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.192.63safe0.28–2.600.10–2.290.38–4.88safer0.00–2.900.00–2.580.00–5.47
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.654.48safe0.77–2.871.52–3.782.30–6.65safer0.51–3.141.23–4.071.74–7.21
Red cards
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.180.28safe0.00–0.260.00–0.360.00–0.63safer0.00–0.410.00–0.500.00–0.91
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.415.81safe0.96–3.831.86–4.972.82–8.80safer0.57–4.221.43–5.402.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.50 3.63–7.36 3.14–7.85 | 3.38 1.64–5.12 1.17–5.59 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.93 12.00–19.85 10.91–20.94 | 10.10 6.54–13.66 5.58–14.62 | 26.02 18.54–33.51 16.49–35.56 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.59 7.65–13.53 6.82–14.36 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.80–9.63 | 16.80 11.18–22.43 9.61–23.99 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.51–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 2.37 0.72–4.02 0.23–4.52 | 6.77 3.23–10.30 2.20–11.34 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.31 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.17 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 60.45 53.66–67.24 51.99–68.91 | 39.10 32.31–45.88 30.64–47.55 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 498 430–565 412–583 | 300 234–367 216–384 | 798 664–932 629–967 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.30 72.27–80.33 70.97–81.62 | 69.37 65.04–73.69 63.73–75.00 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 12.49 9.65–15.33 8.90–16.08 | 14.34 11.40–17.29 10.65–18.04 | 26.83 21.05–32.62 19.55–34.12 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.19 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.63 0.38–4.88 0.00–5.47 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 2.65 1.52–3.78 1.23–4.07 | 4.48 2.30–6.65 1.74–7.21 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.40 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+