Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.762.072.84safe0.00–1.731.22–2.931.01–4.66safer0.00–1.980.99–3.160.53–5.14
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.995.808.79safe1.12–4.854.06–7.545.18–12.39safer0.63–5.343.59–8.014.23–13.35
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5315.8126.35safe6.61–14.4612.25–19.3818.86–33.83safer5.52–15.5511.29–20.3416.81–35.88
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7010.8916.58safe2.75–8.648.21–13.5710.96–22.20safer1.92–9.477.47–14.309.39–23.77
Blocked shots
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.664.106.77safe0.78–4.552.45–5.763.23–10.30safer0.24–5.091.96–6.252.20–11.34
Corners
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.605.729.32safe1.38–5.813.72–7.725.11–13.53safer0.81–6.393.19–8.254.00–14.64
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.4058.52safe34.61–48.2051.73–65.30safer32.94–49.8650.06–66.97
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction375500875safe307–442434–567741–1008safer289–460416–584705–1044
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction67.5776.42safe63.54–71.6072.10–80.75safer62.25–72.8970.79–82.05
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3812.5724.95safe9.55–15.229.62–15.5119.17–30.73safer8.79–15.988.87–16.2617.66–32.24
Offsides
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.963.25safe0.13–2.450.87–3.051.00–5.50safer0.00–2.750.58–3.340.41–6.09
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.074.15safe1.02–3.120.95–3.201.97–6.32safer0.76–3.390.65–3.491.41–6.88
Red cards
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.110.27safe0.00–0.330.00–0.290.00–0.62safer0.00–0.480.00–0.430.00–0.90
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.306.11safe2.37–5.250.74–3.863.12–9.10safer1.99–5.630.32–4.282.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.76 0.00–1.73 0.00–1.98 | 2.07 1.22–2.93 0.99–3.16 | 2.84 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 20% 68% |
| Shots on target | 2.99 1.12–4.85 0.63–5.34 | 5.80 4.06–7.54 3.59–8.01 | 8.79 5.18–12.39 4.23–13.35 | 78% |
| Total shots | 10.53 6.61–14.46 5.52–15.55 | 15.81 12.25–19.38 11.29–20.34 | 26.35 18.86–33.83 16.81–35.88 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 5.70 2.75–8.64 1.92–9.47 | 10.89 8.21–13.57 7.47–14.30 | 16.58 10.96–22.20 9.39–23.77 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.66 0.78–4.55 0.24–5.09 | 4.10 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 6.77 3.23–10.30 2.20–11.34 | 22% 14% 64% |
| Corners | 3.60 1.38–5.81 0.81–6.39 | 5.72 3.72–7.72 3.19–8.25 | 9.32 5.11–13.53 4.00–14.64 | 19% 70% |
| Possession % | 41.40 34.61–48.20 32.94–49.86 | 58.52 51.73–65.30 50.06–66.97 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 375 307–442 289–460 | 500 434–567 416–584 | 875 741–1008 705–1044 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.57 63.54–71.60 62.25–72.89 | 76.42 72.10–80.75 70.79–82.05 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.38 9.55–15.22 8.79–15.98 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.26 | 24.95 19.17–30.73 17.66–32.24 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.29 0.13–2.45 0.00–2.75 | 1.96 0.87–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 2.07 0.95–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.15 1.97–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 14% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.81 2.37–5.25 1.99–5.63 | 2.30 0.74–3.86 0.32–4.28 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.92 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+