Ballileo
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 33·
Rio AveRio AveVSVitória SCVitória SC

Predicted match statistics

StatHomepred / safe / saferAwaypred / safe / saferTotalpred / safe / saferWho wins
Goals
1.12
0.15–2.09
0.00–2.34
1.95
1.09–2.80
0.86–3.03
3.07
1.24–4.89
0.77–5.37
22%
22%
57%
Shots on target
3.84
1.98–5.70
1.49–6.19
5.91
4.16–7.65
3.70–8.11
9.75
6.14–13.35
5.19–14.31
20%
69%
Total shots
11.05
7.13–14.98
6.04–16.07
16.55
12.99–20.12
12.03–21.08
27.61
20.12–35.10
18.07–37.15
83%
Shots in box
6.43
3.48–9.37
2.65–10.20
10.26
7.58–12.94
6.84–13.68
16.68
11.06–22.31
9.49–23.87
14%
79%
Blocked shots
2.73
0.85–4.61
0.30–5.16
4.03
2.38–5.69
1.89–6.18
6.76
3.23–10.30
2.19–11.34
24%
14%
62%
Corners
3.99
1.77–6.20
1.20–6.77
6.27
4.27–8.27
3.74–8.80
10.25
6.04–14.47
4.93–15.57
19%
71%
Possession %
44.17
37.38–50.96
35.71–52.63
55.25
48.46–62.03
46.79–63.70
—
24%
72%
Passes
385
318–452
300–470
467
400–533
383–551
852
718–985
682–1021
25%
75%
Pass accuracy %
68.99
64.96–73.02
63.67–74.31
76.28
71.96–80.61
70.65–81.92
—
16%
81%
Fouls
12.32
9.48–15.16
8.73–15.91
14.88
11.94–17.83
11.19–18.58
27.20
21.42–32.98
19.92–34.49
28%
65%
Offsides
2.00
0.84–3.17
0.54–3.47
1.47
0.37–2.56
0.09–2.85
3.47
1.22–5.72
0.63–6.31
50%
22%
28%
Yellow cards
1.96
0.91–3.01
0.64–3.27
2.28
1.15–3.41
0.86–3.70
4.24
2.06–6.41
1.50–6.97
34%
20%
46%
Red cards
0.10
0.00–0.26
0.00–0.41
0.13
0.00–0.32
0.00–0.45
0.22
0.00–0.57
0.00–0.86
81%
GK saves
3.92
2.49–5.36
2.10–5.75
2.52
0.97–4.08
0.54–4.50
6.44
3.45–9.44
2.64–10.25
64%
14%
22%

safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent

Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.