Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.620.813.43safe1.65–3.580.00–1.671.61–5.25safer1.40–3.840.00–1.891.13–5.73
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.003.0310.04safe5.14–8.861.29–4.786.43–13.64safer4.65–9.350.83–5.245.48–14.60
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.609.0128.61safe15.67–23.525.45–12.5721.12–36.10safer14.58–24.614.49–13.5319.07–38.15
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.705.5219.22safe10.76–16.642.83–8.2013.59–24.84safer9.93–17.472.10–8.9312.03–26.41
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.772.287.06safe2.89–6.660.63–3.943.52–10.59safer2.35–7.200.14–4.432.49–11.63
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.1610.21safe4.83–9.261.16–5.166.00–14.42safer4.26–9.830.63–5.704.89–15.53
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.7540.89safe51.96–65.5434.10–47.67safer50.29–67.2132.43–49.34
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction565397962safe498–633331–464829–1096safer480–651313–481793–1132
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction80.6474.06safe76.61–84.6769.74–78.38safer75.32–85.9668.43–79.69
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9613.1123.07safe7.12–12.8010.17–16.0617.29–28.86safer6.37–13.559.42–16.8115.79–30.36
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.273.23safe0.80–3.120.17–2.360.97–5.48safer0.50–3.420.00–2.650.39–6.07
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.473.96safe0.44–2.541.34–3.601.78–6.13safer0.17–2.801.05–3.891.22–6.69
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.224.256.47safe0.78–3.662.69–5.803.48–9.46safer0.40–4.042.27–6.232.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.62 1.65–3.58 1.40–3.84 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.89 | 3.43 1.61–5.25 1.13–5.73 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.00 5.14–8.86 4.65–9.35 | 3.03 1.29–4.78 0.83–5.24 | 10.04 6.43–13.64 5.48–14.60 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.60 15.67–23.52 14.58–24.61 | 9.01 5.45–12.57 4.49–13.53 | 28.61 21.12–36.10 19.07–38.15 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.70 10.76–16.64 9.93–17.47 | 5.52 2.83–8.20 2.10–8.93 | 19.22 13.59–24.84 12.03–26.41 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.77 2.89–6.66 2.35–7.20 | 2.28 0.63–3.94 0.14–4.43 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.49–11.63 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.83–9.26 4.26–9.83 | 3.16 1.16–5.16 0.63–5.70 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 86% |
| Possession % | 58.75 51.96–65.54 50.29–67.21 | 40.89 34.10–47.67 32.43–49.34 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 565 498–633 480–651 | 397 331–464 313–481 | 962 829–1096 793–1132 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.64 76.61–84.67 75.32–85.96 | 74.06 69.74–78.38 68.43–79.69 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 9.96 7.12–12.80 6.37–13.55 | 13.11 10.17–16.06 9.42–16.81 | 23.07 17.29–28.86 15.79–30.36 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.66 0.40–4.04 | 4.25 2.69–5.80 2.27–6.23 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+