Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.392.87safe0.51–2.450.54–2.251.05–4.70safer0.26–2.700.31–2.480.57–5.18
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.168.93safe2.90–6.632.42–5.915.32–12.53safer2.41–7.111.96–6.374.37–13.49
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0712.2326.31safe10.15–18.008.67–15.8018.82–33.79safer9.06–19.097.71–16.7516.77–35.85
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.508.1916.69safe5.56–11.445.51–10.8811.07–22.32safer4.73–12.274.78–11.619.50–23.88
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.417.15safe1.85–5.621.76–5.073.61–10.68safer1.31–6.161.27–5.562.58–11.72
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.749.96safe3.01–7.432.74–6.745.75–14.17safer2.43–8.012.21–7.274.64–15.28
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6246.79safe46.83–60.4140.01–53.58safer45.16–62.0838.34–55.25
Passes
77%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction479389869safe412–547323–456735–1002safer394–565305–473699–1038
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction69.5371.00safe65.50–73.5666.67–75.32safer64.21–74.8565.37–76.63
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4912.9924.47safe8.65–14.3210.04–15.9318.69–30.26safer7.89–15.089.30–16.6817.19–31.76
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.793.25safe0.30–2.620.70–2.891.00–5.50safer0.00–2.920.41–3.180.41–6.09
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.653.54safe0.84–2.940.52–2.781.37–5.72safer0.58–3.210.23–3.070.81–6.28
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.975.72safe1.31–4.181.42–4.532.73–8.71safer0.92–4.570.99–4.951.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.90–6.63 2.41–7.11 | 4.16 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.37 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.07 10.15–18.00 9.06–19.09 | 12.23 8.67–15.80 7.71–16.75 | 26.31 18.82–33.79 16.77–35.85 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 8.19 5.51–10.88 4.78–11.61 | 16.69 11.07–22.32 9.50–23.88 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 3.41 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.15 3.61–10.68 2.58–11.72 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.43 2.43–8.01 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.27 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 53.62 46.83–60.41 45.16–62.08 | 46.79 40.01–53.58 38.34–55.25 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 479 412–547 394–565 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 869 735–1002 699–1038 | 77% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.53 65.50–73.56 64.21–74.85 | 71.00 66.67–75.32 65.37–76.63 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.65–14.32 7.89–15.08 | 12.99 10.04–15.93 9.30–16.68 | 24.47 18.69–30.26 17.19–31.76 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.18 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.54 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+