Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.690.882.57safe0.72–2.660.02–1.730.75–4.39safer0.47–2.910.00–1.960.27–4.87
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.223.298.51safe3.36–7.081.55–5.034.91–12.12safer2.87–7.571.08–5.503.95–13.07
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.669.2424.91safe11.74–19.595.68–12.8117.42–32.39safer10.65–20.684.72–13.7615.37–34.44
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.525.6715.20safe6.58–12.472.99–8.369.58–20.82safer5.75–13.302.26–9.098.01–22.39
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.222.406.62safe2.34–6.100.75–4.063.09–10.16safer1.79–6.640.26–4.552.05–11.19
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.703.309.00safe3.49–7.911.30–5.304.79–13.22safer2.91–8.490.77–5.843.68–14.32
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.5048.92safe44.71–58.2942.13–55.70safer43.04–59.9640.46–57.37
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction481466947safe413–548400–533813–1080safer395–566382–550777–1116
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction73.2874.87safe69.26–77.3170.54–79.19safer67.96–78.6169.23–80.50
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7413.1125.85safe9.90–15.5810.17–16.0620.07–31.63safer9.15–16.339.42–16.8118.57–33.14
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.373.31safe0.78–3.100.27–2.461.06–5.56safer0.48–3.410.00–2.750.47–6.15
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.454.13safe0.63–2.731.33–3.581.96–6.31safer0.36–3.001.03–3.871.40–6.87
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.22safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.85
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.253.395.64safe0.81–3.691.83–4.942.64–8.63safer0.43–4.071.41–5.371.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 57% 24% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.22 3.36–7.08 2.87–7.57 | 3.29 1.55–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 8.51 4.91–12.12 3.95–13.07 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.66 11.74–19.59 10.65–20.68 | 9.24 5.68–12.81 4.72–13.76 | 24.91 17.42–32.39 15.37–34.44 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 9.52 6.58–12.47 5.75–13.30 | 5.67 2.99–8.36 2.26–9.09 | 15.20 9.58–20.82 8.01–22.39 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 2.40 0.75–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 6.62 3.09–10.16 2.05–11.19 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 5.70 3.49–7.91 2.91–8.49 | 3.30 1.30–5.30 0.77–5.84 | 9.00 4.79–13.22 3.68–14.32 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 51.50 44.71–58.29 43.04–59.96 | 48.92 42.13–55.70 40.46–57.37 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 481 413–548 395–566 | 466 400–533 382–550 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.28 69.26–77.31 67.96–78.61 | 74.87 70.54–79.19 69.23–80.50 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.74 9.90–15.58 9.15–16.33 | 13.11 10.17–16.06 9.42–16.81 | 25.85 20.07–31.63 18.57–33.14 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.41 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 2.45 1.33–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.13 1.96–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.69 0.43–4.07 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 5.64 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+