Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.322.46safe0.17–2.110.47–2.180.64–4.29safer0.00–2.360.24–2.400.16–4.77
Shots on target
37%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.774.167.93safe1.90–5.632.42–5.904.32–11.53safer1.41–6.121.95–6.373.36–12.49
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0912.4424.53safe8.16–16.018.88–16.0017.04–32.02safer7.07–17.107.92–16.9614.99–34.07
Shots in box
32%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction6.778.0414.81safe3.83–9.725.36–10.729.19–20.44safer3.00–10.554.62–11.467.62–22.00
Blocked shots
44%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.966.06safe1.21–4.981.31–4.612.52–9.59safer0.67–5.520.82–5.111.48–10.63
Corners
38%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.859.31safe2.25–6.682.85–6.855.10–13.53safer1.67–7.252.32–7.393.99–14.63
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.7948.27safe45.00–58.5841.49–55.06safer43.33–60.2539.81–56.73
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction459393853safe392–526327–460719–986safer374–545309–477683–1022
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction68.6370.30safe64.60–72.6665.98–74.62safer63.30–73.9564.67–75.93
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5513.1625.72safe9.72–15.3910.22–16.1119.94–31.50safer8.96–16.159.47–16.8618.43–33.01
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.613.19safe0.42–2.740.52–2.710.94–5.45safer0.12–3.040.23–2.990.35–6.04
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.903.62safe0.66–2.760.78–3.031.44–5.79safer0.40–3.030.48–3.320.88–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.825.64safe1.38–4.251.27–4.382.65–8.63safer0.99–4.640.84–4.801.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.40 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.90–5.63 1.41–6.12 | 4.16 2.42–5.90 1.95–6.37 | 7.93 4.32–11.53 3.36–12.49 | 37% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.09 8.16–16.01 7.07–17.10 | 12.44 8.88–16.00 7.92–16.96 | 24.53 17.04–32.02 14.99–34.07 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 6.77 3.83–9.72 3.00–10.55 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 14.81 9.19–20.44 7.62–22.00 | 32% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.21–4.98 0.67–5.52 | 2.96 1.31–4.61 0.82–5.11 | 6.06 2.52–9.59 1.48–10.63 | 44% 17% 40% |
| Corners | 4.46 2.25–6.68 1.67–7.25 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.39 | 9.31 5.10–13.53 3.99–14.63 | 38% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 51.79 45.00–58.58 43.33–60.25 | 48.27 41.49–55.06 39.81–56.73 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 374–545 | 393 327–460 309–477 | 853 719–986 683–1022 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.63 64.60–72.66 63.30–73.95 | 70.30 65.98–74.62 64.67–75.93 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.72–15.39 8.96–16.15 | 13.16 10.22–16.11 9.47–16.86 | 25.72 19.94–31.50 18.43–33.01 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.90 0.78–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.62 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 2.82 1.27–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+