Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 34·
Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.812.333.14safe0.00–1.781.47–3.181.31–4.96safer0.00–2.031.25–3.410.83–5.44
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.895.898.78safe1.03–4.764.14–7.635.18–12.39safer0.54–5.253.68–8.094.22–13.34
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6314.7424.37safe5.71–13.5611.18–18.3016.89–31.86safer4.62–14.6510.22–19.2614.84–33.91
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4810.3815.86safe2.54–8.427.69–13.0610.23–21.48safer1.71–9.256.96–13.798.67–23.05
Blocked shots
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.176.72safe0.67–4.432.52–5.823.18–10.25safer0.12–4.972.02–6.312.15–11.29
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.195.989.17safe0.98–5.403.98–7.984.95–13.38safer0.40–5.983.44–8.513.85–14.49
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction34.9964.26safe28.20–41.7857.47–71.04safer26.53–43.4555.80–72.71
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction324580904safe257–392513–646770–1038safer239–410496–664735–1073
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction66.1681.67safe62.13–70.1977.35–86.00safer60.84–71.4876.04–87.31
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5112.7326.24safe10.67–16.359.78–15.6720.46–32.02safer9.91–17.109.04–16.4218.95–33.52
Offsides
29%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.853.23safe0.22–2.540.76–2.940.98–5.49safer0.00–2.850.47–3.230.39–6.08
Yellow cards
50%
19%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.034.57safe1.49–3.590.91–3.162.40–6.75safer1.22–3.850.61–3.451.84–7.31
Red cards
17%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.210.100.31safe0.05–0.370.00–0.290.00–0.66safer0.00–0.520.00–0.420.00–0.94
GK saves
67%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.105.74safe2.20–5.070.55–3.662.75–8.73safer1.81–5.460.12–4.081.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.81 0.00–1.78 0.00–2.03 | 2.33 1.47–3.18 1.25–3.41 | 3.14 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 17% 71% |
| Shots on target | 2.89 1.03–4.76 0.54–5.25 | 5.89 4.14–7.63 3.68–8.09 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 80% |
| Total shots | 9.63 5.71–13.56 4.62–14.65 | 14.74 11.18–18.30 10.22–19.26 | 24.37 16.89–31.86 14.84–33.91 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 5.48 2.54–8.42 1.71–9.25 | 10.38 7.69–13.06 6.96–13.79 | 15.86 10.23–21.48 8.67–23.05 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.55 0.67–4.43 0.12–4.97 | 4.17 2.52–5.82 2.02–6.31 | 6.72 3.18–10.25 2.15–11.29 | 20% 13% 67% |
| Corners | 3.19 0.98–5.40 0.40–5.98 | 5.98 3.98–7.98 3.44–8.51 | 9.17 4.95–13.38 3.85–14.49 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 34.99 28.20–41.78 26.53–43.45 | 64.26 57.47–71.04 55.80–72.71 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 324 257–392 239–410 | 580 513–646 496–664 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.16 62.13–70.19 60.84–71.48 | 81.67 77.35–86.00 76.04–87.31 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 13.51 10.67–16.35 9.91–17.10 | 12.73 9.78–15.67 9.04–16.42 | 26.24 20.46–32.02 18.95–33.52 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.85 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.23 0.98–5.49 0.39–6.08 | 29% 23% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.54 1.49–3.59 1.22–3.85 | 2.03 0.91–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.57 2.40–6.75 1.84–7.31 | 50% 19% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.21 0.05–0.37 0.00–0.52 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 17% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.20–5.07 1.81–5.46 | 2.10 0.55–3.66 0.12–4.08 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.94–9.55 | 67% 14% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+