Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.122.71safe0.62–2.550.27–1.980.89–4.53safer0.36–2.800.04–2.210.41–5.01
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.103.528.63safe3.24–6.971.78–5.275.02–12.23safer2.75–7.461.31–5.734.07–13.19
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2910.3326.62safe12.37–20.226.77–13.9019.14–34.11safer11.27–21.315.81–14.8617.09–36.16
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.756.1415.89safe6.81–12.693.46–8.8210.27–21.51safer5.98–13.522.72–9.568.70–23.08
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.826.83safe2.13–5.891.17–4.483.30–10.37safer1.58–6.440.68–4.972.26–11.40
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.989.43safe3.24–7.661.98–5.985.21–13.64safer2.66–8.241.44–6.514.10–14.75
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.5749.12safe43.78–57.3642.33–55.90safer42.11–59.0340.66–57.57
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction415404819safe348–483338–471686–953safer330–501320–488650–989
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction81.5280.62safe77.49–85.5576.29–84.94safer76.20–86.8474.98–86.25
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4612.6826.15safe10.63–16.309.74–15.6320.36–31.93safer9.87–17.068.99–16.3818.86–33.43
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.503.23safe0.57–2.890.40–2.590.97–5.48safer0.27–3.190.12–2.880.38–6.07
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.414.42safe0.97–3.071.28–3.542.25–6.60safer0.70–3.330.99–3.831.69–7.16
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.636.21safe1.15–4.022.07–5.183.22–9.20safer0.76–4.411.65–5.612.41–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.62–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.97 2.75–7.46 | 3.52 1.78–5.27 1.31–5.73 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.07–13.19 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.29 12.37–20.22 11.27–21.31 | 10.33 6.77–13.90 5.81–14.86 | 26.62 19.14–34.11 17.09–36.16 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.81–12.69 5.98–13.52 | 6.14 3.46–8.82 2.72–9.56 | 15.89 10.27–21.51 8.70–23.08 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.89 1.58–6.44 | 2.82 1.17–4.48 0.68–4.97 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.66 2.66–8.24 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.44–6.51 | 9.43 5.21–13.64 4.10–14.75 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 50.57 43.78–57.36 42.11–59.03 | 49.12 42.33–55.90 40.66–57.57 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 415 348–483 330–501 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 819 686–953 650–989 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.52 77.49–85.55 76.20–86.84 | 80.62 76.29–84.94 74.98–86.25 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.63–16.30 9.87–17.06 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 26.15 20.36–31.93 18.86–33.43 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.23 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.42 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.63 2.07–5.18 1.65–5.61 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.01 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.