Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.502.98safe0.51–2.450.65–2.361.16–4.81safer0.26–2.700.42–2.590.68–5.29
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.689.08safe2.53–6.262.94–6.425.47–12.68safer2.04–6.752.47–6.894.52–13.64
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1112.5924.70safe8.18–16.039.02–16.1517.21–32.18safer7.09–17.138.06–17.1115.16–34.23
Shots in box
47%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction7.827.5715.40safe4.88–10.764.89–10.259.77–21.02safer4.05–11.594.15–10.998.21–22.59
Blocked shots
44%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.016.19safe1.29–5.051.36–4.672.65–9.72safer0.75–5.600.87–5.161.62–10.76
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.519.19safe2.47–6.902.51–6.514.98–13.41safer1.90–7.471.97–7.043.87–14.51
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.6852.11safe41.89–55.4745.33–58.90safer40.22–57.1443.66–60.57
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction424459884safe357–491393–526750–1017safer339–510375–543714–1053
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction82.6685.15safe78.63–86.6980.83–89.48safer77.34–87.9879.52–90.79
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7213.3924.12safe7.89–13.5610.45–16.3418.33–29.90safer7.13–14.329.70–17.0916.83–31.40
Offsides
23%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.664.32safe0.50–2.821.57–3.762.07–6.58safer0.20–3.121.28–4.041.48–7.17
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.534.43safe0.85–2.951.40–3.662.25–6.61safer0.59–3.221.11–3.951.69–7.17
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
49%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.312.836.14safe1.88–4.751.27–4.393.15–9.14safer1.49–5.140.85–4.812.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.53–6.26 2.04–6.75 | 4.68 2.94–6.42 2.47–6.89 | 9.08 5.47–12.68 4.52–13.64 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.11 8.18–16.03 7.09–17.13 | 12.59 9.02–16.15 8.06–17.11 | 24.70 17.21–32.18 15.16–34.23 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.82 4.88–10.76 4.05–11.59 | 7.57 4.89–10.25 4.15–10.99 | 15.40 9.77–21.02 8.21–22.59 | 47% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.75–5.60 | 3.01 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 6.19 2.65–9.72 1.62–10.76 | 44% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.47 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.97–7.04 | 9.19 4.98–13.41 3.87–14.51 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.68 41.89–55.47 40.22–57.14 | 52.11 45.33–58.90 43.66–60.57 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 339–510 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 884 750–1017 714–1053 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.66 78.63–86.69 77.34–87.98 | 85.15 80.83–89.48 79.52–90.79 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.89–13.56 7.13–14.32 | 13.39 10.45–16.34 9.70–17.09 | 24.12 18.33–29.90 16.83–31.40 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.66 1.57–3.76 1.28–4.04 | 4.32 2.07–6.58 1.48–7.17 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.53 1.40–3.66 1.11–3.95 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.69–7.17 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.83 1.27–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 6.14 3.15–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 49% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+