Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
28%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.212.41safe0.24–2.170.35–2.060.59–4.24safer0.00–2.430.12–2.290.11–4.72
Shots on target
43%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.927.82safe2.04–5.772.17–5.664.22–11.43safer1.55–6.261.71–6.133.26–12.38
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.9725.36safe8.46–16.319.41–16.5317.87–32.85safer7.37–17.408.45–17.4915.82–34.90
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.588.2015.78safe4.64–10.525.52–10.8810.16–21.40safer3.81–11.354.78–11.628.59–22.97
Blocked shots
41%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.506.93safe1.55–5.311.85–5.163.40–10.47safer1.00–5.851.36–5.652.36–11.50
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.999.71safe2.51–6.942.99–6.995.50–13.93safer1.94–7.522.45–7.524.39–15.03
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.3245.76safe47.53–61.1138.97–52.54safer45.86–62.7837.30–54.21
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction417332748safe349–484265–398615–882safer331–502248–416579–918
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction77.6872.93safe73.65–81.7168.61–77.26safer72.36–83.0067.30–78.57
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6514.6525.30safe7.81–13.4911.71–17.6019.52–31.08safer7.06–14.2410.96–18.3418.02–32.59
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.893.44safe0.39–2.720.79–2.981.19–5.70safer0.09–3.020.51–3.270.60–6.28
Yellow cards
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.173.87safe0.65–2.751.04–3.301.69–6.05safer0.38–3.010.75–3.591.13–6.60
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
42%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.712.685.39safe1.27–4.141.12–4.242.39–8.38safer0.88–4.530.70–4.661.58–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.17 0.00–2.43 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.41 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 36% 28% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.04–5.77 1.55–6.26 | 3.92 2.17–5.66 1.71–6.13 | 7.82 4.22–11.43 3.26–12.38 | 43% 15% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.39 8.46–16.31 7.37–17.40 | 12.97 9.41–16.53 8.45–17.49 | 25.36 17.87–32.85 15.82–34.90 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.58 4.64–10.52 3.81–11.35 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.78–11.62 | 15.78 10.16–21.40 8.59–22.97 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 3.50 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 6.93 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.50 | 41% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.52 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.45–7.52 | 9.71 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.03 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 54.32 47.53–61.11 45.86–62.78 | 45.76 38.97–52.54 37.30–54.21 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 417 349–484 331–502 | 332 265–398 248–416 | 748 615–882 579–918 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.68 73.65–81.71 72.36–83.00 | 72.93 68.61–77.26 67.30–78.57 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.06–14.24 | 14.65 11.71–17.60 10.96–18.34 | 25.30 19.52–31.08 18.02–32.59 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.28 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.13–6.60 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 2.68 1.12–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 5.39 2.39–8.38 1.58–9.19 | 42% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+