Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.250.873.13safe1.29–3.220.02–1.731.31–4.95safer1.03–3.470.00–1.960.83–5.43
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.009.34safe4.48–8.211.25–4.745.74–12.95safer3.99–8.700.79–5.214.78–13.90
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.608.6927.28safe14.67–22.525.12–12.2519.80–34.77safer13.58–23.624.16–13.2117.75–36.82
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.745.3517.09safe8.80–14.682.67–8.0311.47–22.72safer7.97–15.511.94–8.779.90–24.28
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.712.126.83safe2.83–6.600.46–3.773.30–10.37safer2.29–7.140.00–4.262.26–11.40
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.169.84safe4.48–8.901.16–5.165.63–14.06safer3.90–9.480.62–5.694.52–15.17
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.0145.29safe48.22–61.8038.50–52.07safer46.55–63.4736.83–53.74
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction482395877safe415–549329–461743–1011safer397–568311–479708–1047
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction84.8879.61safe80.85–88.9175.28–83.93safer79.56–90.2073.98–85.24
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1912.6225.81safe10.36–16.039.67–15.5620.03–31.59safer9.60–16.798.93–16.3118.52–33.10
Offsides
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.233.58safe0.19–2.511.14–3.331.33–5.83safer0.00–2.810.85–3.610.74–6.42
Yellow cards
26%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.384.02safe0.59–2.691.25–3.511.85–6.20safer0.33–2.960.96–3.801.29–6.76
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.093.775.86safe0.65–3.522.21–5.332.86–8.85safer0.26–3.911.79–5.752.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.25 1.29–3.22 1.03–3.47 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.13 1.31–4.95 0.83–5.43 | 69% 18% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.34 4.48–8.21 3.99–8.70 | 3.00 1.25–4.74 0.79–5.21 | 9.34 5.74–12.95 4.78–13.90 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.60 14.67–22.52 13.58–23.62 | 8.69 5.12–12.25 4.16–13.21 | 27.28 19.80–34.77 17.75–36.82 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.74 8.80–14.68 7.97–15.51 | 5.35 2.67–8.03 1.94–8.77 | 17.09 11.47–22.72 9.90–24.28 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.60 2.29–7.14 | 2.12 0.46–3.77 0.00–4.26 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.48–8.90 3.90–9.48 | 3.16 1.16–5.16 0.62–5.69 | 9.84 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.17 | 84% |
| Possession % | 55.01 48.22–61.80 46.55–63.47 | 45.29 38.50–52.07 36.83–53.74 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–568 | 395 329–461 311–479 | 877 743–1011 708–1047 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.88 80.85–88.91 79.56–90.20 | 79.61 75.28–83.93 73.98–85.24 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 13.19 10.36–16.03 9.60–16.79 | 12.62 9.67–15.56 8.93–16.31 | 25.81 20.03–31.59 18.52–33.10 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 2.23 1.14–3.33 0.85–3.61 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.02 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 26% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 3.77 2.21–5.33 1.79–5.75 | 5.86 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

