Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.302.52safe0.24–2.180.45–2.160.69–4.34safer0.00–2.430.22–2.390.21–4.82
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.258.48safe2.36–6.092.51–5.994.87–12.08safer1.87–6.582.04–6.463.92–13.04
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6412.3325.98safe9.72–17.578.77–15.8918.49–33.46safer8.63–18.667.81–16.8516.44–35.51
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.107.4315.53safe5.16–11.044.75–10.119.90–21.15safer4.33–11.874.01–10.858.34–22.72
Blocked shots
44%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.487.10safe1.73–5.491.83–5.143.56–10.63safer1.19–6.041.34–5.632.53–11.67
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.579.64safe2.86–7.282.57–6.575.43–13.85safer2.28–7.862.04–7.104.32–14.96
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction48.7850.35safe41.99–55.5743.56–57.13safer40.32–57.2441.89–58.80
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction384402785safe316–451335–468652–919safer298–469318–486616–955
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction79.9680.97safe75.93–83.9976.65–85.30safer74.64–85.2875.34–86.61
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6013.5329.13safe12.77–18.4410.58–16.4723.35–34.91safer12.01–19.209.84–17.2221.84–36.42
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.543.00safe0.30–2.620.45–2.640.75–5.26safer0.00–2.920.16–2.920.16–5.84
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.304.70safe1.35–3.451.17–3.432.52–6.88safer1.08–3.720.88–3.721.97–7.44
Red cards
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.180.120.30safe0.02–0.340.00–0.310.00–0.64safer0.00–0.490.00–0.440.00–0.93
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.885.74safe1.43–4.301.32–4.442.75–8.74safer1.04–4.690.90–4.861.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.52 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.36–6.09 1.87–6.58 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 8.48 4.87–12.08 3.92–13.04 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.64 9.72–17.57 8.63–18.66 | 12.33 8.77–15.89 7.81–16.85 | 25.98 18.49–33.46 16.44–35.51 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.10 5.16–11.04 4.33–11.87 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 15.53 9.90–21.15 8.34–22.72 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 3.48 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 44% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.04–7.10 | 9.64 5.43–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 48.78 41.99–55.57 40.32–57.24 | 50.35 43.56–57.13 41.89–58.80 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 384 316–451 298–469 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 785 652–919 616–955 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.96 75.93–83.99 74.64–85.28 | 80.97 76.65–85.30 75.34–86.61 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 15.60 12.77–18.44 12.01–19.20 | 13.53 10.58–16.47 9.84–17.22 | 29.13 23.35–34.91 21.84–36.42 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.92 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.84 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.08–3.72 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.70 2.52–6.88 1.97–7.44 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.18 0.02–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.30 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.93 | 15% 76% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 5.74 2.75–8.74 1.94–9.55 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+