Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
29%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.002.21safe0.24–2.180.15–1.850.39–4.04safer0.00–2.430.00–2.080.00–4.52
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.497.60safe2.26–5.981.74–5.234.00–11.21safer1.77–6.471.28–5.693.04–12.16
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7410.2524.00safe9.82–17.676.69–13.8116.51–31.48safer8.73–18.765.73–14.7714.46–33.53
Shots in box
63%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.206.3914.59safe5.26–11.143.71–9.078.96–20.21safer4.43–11.972.97–9.817.40–21.78
Blocked shots
53%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.846.36safe1.64–5.401.19–4.492.83–9.90safer1.10–5.950.70–4.991.79–10.93
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.114.379.48safe2.90–7.322.37–6.375.26–13.69safer2.32–7.901.83–6.904.16–14.80
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.2947.01safe46.50–60.0840.22–53.79safer44.83–61.7538.55–55.46
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction435373807safe367–502306–439674–941safer349–520289–457638–977
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction81.8779.96safe77.84–85.9075.63–84.28safer76.55–87.2074.33–85.59
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8312.7526.58safe11.00–16.679.81–15.6920.80–32.36safer10.24–17.439.06–16.4419.30–33.87
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.643.31safe0.52–2.840.54–2.731.06–5.57safer0.22–3.140.26–3.020.47–6.16
Yellow cards
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.404.58safe1.13–3.221.27–3.532.40–6.75safer0.86–3.490.98–3.821.84–7.31
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.015.23safe0.78–3.651.45–4.562.23–8.22safer0.40–4.041.03–4.991.42–9.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.00 0.15–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.21 0.39–4.04 0.00–4.52 | 41% 29% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.98 1.77–6.47 | 3.49 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 7.60 4.00–11.21 3.04–12.16 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.74 9.82–17.67 8.73–18.76 | 10.25 6.69–13.81 5.73–14.77 | 24.00 16.51–31.48 14.46–33.53 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.26–11.14 4.43–11.97 | 6.39 3.71–9.07 2.97–9.81 | 14.59 8.96–20.21 7.40–21.78 | 63% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.10–5.95 | 2.84 1.19–4.49 0.70–4.99 | 6.36 2.83–9.90 1.79–10.93 | 53% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.90–7.32 2.32–7.90 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 9.48 5.26–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 53.29 46.50–60.08 44.83–61.75 | 47.01 40.22–53.79 38.55–55.46 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 435 367–502 349–520 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 807 674–941 638–977 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.87 77.84–85.90 76.55–87.20 | 79.96 75.63–84.28 74.33–85.59 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 13.83 11.00–16.67 10.24–17.43 | 12.75 9.81–15.69 9.06–16.44 | 26.58 20.80–32.36 19.30–33.87 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.13–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.58 2.40–6.75 1.84–7.31 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.65 0.40–4.04 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.23 2.23–8.22 1.42–9.03 | 28% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.