Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
19%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.213.16safe0.00–1.921.36–3.071.34–4.98safer0.00–2.171.13–3.290.86–5.46
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.076.159.22safe1.21–4.934.41–7.895.61–12.82safer0.72–5.423.94–8.364.66–13.78
Total shots
13%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1316.5127.64safe7.21–15.0612.95–20.0720.15–35.13safer6.11–16.1511.99–21.0318.10–37.18
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3810.8717.25safe3.43–9.328.19–13.5511.62–22.87safer2.61–10.157.45–14.2910.06–24.44
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.834.447.27safe0.95–4.712.79–6.103.74–10.81safer0.40–5.252.30–6.592.70–11.84
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.796.109.89safe1.58–6.014.10–8.105.68–14.10safer1.01–6.583.56–8.634.57–15.21
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.9559.89safe33.16–46.7453.11–66.68safer31.49–48.4151.44–68.35
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction357515872safe290–424449–581738–1006safer272–443431–599703–1041
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction76.3582.54safe72.32–80.3878.22–86.86safer71.02–81.6776.91–88.17
Fouls
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3713.0626.43safe10.53–16.2110.11–16.0020.65–32.21safer9.78–16.969.37–16.7519.14–33.72
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.372.85safe0.31–2.630.28–2.470.59–5.10safer0.01–2.940.00–2.750.01–5.69
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.034.17safe1.09–3.190.90–3.162.00–6.35safer0.83–3.460.61–3.451.44–6.91
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.962.366.32safe2.52–5.390.80–3.923.33–9.31safer2.13–5.780.38–4.342.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.21 1.36–3.07 1.13–3.29 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 15% 19% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.07 1.21–4.93 0.72–5.42 | 6.15 4.41–7.89 3.94–8.36 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 80% |
| Total shots | 11.13 7.21–15.06 6.11–16.15 | 16.51 12.95–20.07 11.99–21.03 | 27.64 20.15–35.13 18.10–37.18 | 13% 82% |
| Shots in box | 6.38 3.43–9.32 2.61–10.15 | 10.87 8.19–13.55 7.45–14.29 | 17.25 11.62–22.87 10.06–24.44 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.83 0.95–4.71 0.40–5.25 | 4.44 2.79–6.10 2.30–6.59 | 7.27 3.74–10.81 2.70–11.84 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.58–6.01 1.01–6.58 | 6.10 4.10–8.10 3.56–8.63 | 9.89 5.68–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 39.95 33.16–46.74 31.49–48.41 | 59.89 53.11–66.68 51.44–68.35 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 357 290–424 272–443 | 515 449–581 431–599 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.35 72.32–80.38 71.02–81.67 | 82.54 78.22–86.86 76.91–88.17 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 13.37 10.53–16.21 9.78–16.96 | 13.06 10.11–16.00 9.37–16.75 | 26.43 20.65–32.21 19.14–33.72 | 49% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.94 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 2.85 0.59–5.10 0.01–5.69 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.17 2.00–6.35 1.44–6.91 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.96 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 2.36 0.80–3.92 0.38–4.34 | 6.32 3.33–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.