Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.753.14safe1.43–3.360.00–1.601.32–4.97safer1.18–3.620.00–1.830.84–5.45
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.299.88safe4.73–8.451.54–5.036.27–13.48safer4.24–8.941.08–5.505.32–14.44
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.868.9925.85safe12.93–20.785.43–12.5518.36–33.34safer11.84–21.874.47–13.5116.31–35.39
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.524.9016.41safe8.57–14.462.21–7.5810.79–22.04safer7.75–15.291.48–8.319.22–23.60
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.201.866.06safe2.32–6.080.20–3.512.52–9.59safer1.77–6.620.00–4.001.48–10.63
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.683.029.70safe4.46–8.891.02–5.025.49–13.91safer3.89–9.460.49–5.564.38–15.02
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.4438.56safe55.65–69.2331.77–45.34safer53.98–70.9030.10–47.02
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction523326849safe456–591259–392715–983safer438–609242–410680–1018
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction85.6978.42safe81.66–89.7274.10–82.75safer80.37–91.0172.79–84.06
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9912.9626.95safe11.15–16.8310.01–15.9021.16–32.73safer10.40–17.589.26–16.6519.66–34.23
Offsides
57%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.491.614.10safe1.33–3.650.52–2.711.84–6.35safer1.02–3.950.23–2.991.26–6.94
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.113.71safe0.56–2.660.98–3.241.54–5.89safer0.29–2.920.69–3.530.98–6.45
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.986.33safe0.92–3.792.42–5.543.34–9.33safer0.53–4.182.00–5.962.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.36 1.18–3.62 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.59 4.73–8.45 4.24–8.94 | 3.29 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 9.88 6.27–13.48 5.32–14.44 | 82% |
| Total shots | 16.86 12.93–20.78 11.84–21.87 | 8.99 5.43–12.55 4.47–13.51 | 25.85 18.36–33.34 16.31–35.39 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.52 8.57–14.46 7.75–15.29 | 4.90 2.21–7.58 1.48–8.31 | 16.41 10.79–22.04 9.22–23.60 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 1.86 0.20–3.51 0.00–4.00 | 6.06 2.52–9.59 1.48–10.63 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.68 4.46–8.89 3.89–9.46 | 3.02 1.02–5.02 0.49–5.56 | 9.70 5.49–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 85% |
| Possession % | 62.44 55.65–69.23 53.98–70.90 | 38.56 31.77–45.34 30.10–47.02 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 523 456–591 438–609 | 326 259–392 242–410 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.69 81.66–89.72 80.37–91.01 | 78.42 74.10–82.75 72.79–84.06 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 13.99 11.15–16.83 10.40–17.58 | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.26–16.65 | 26.95 21.16–32.73 19.66–34.23 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.49 1.33–3.65 1.02–3.95 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 4.10 1.84–6.35 1.26–6.94 | 57% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.71 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.98 2.42–5.54 2.00–5.96 | 6.33 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.