Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.052.44safe0.42–2.360.20–1.910.61–4.26safer0.17–2.610.00–2.130.14–4.74
Shots on target
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.618.07safe2.60–6.331.87–5.354.47–11.68safer2.11–6.821.40–5.823.51–12.63
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3510.9224.27safe9.42–17.277.36–14.4816.78–31.76safer8.33–18.366.40–15.4414.73–33.81
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.346.5015.84safe6.40–12.283.82–9.1810.22–21.46safer5.57–13.113.08–9.928.65–23.03
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.896.53safe1.76–5.521.23–4.542.99–10.06safer1.22–6.070.74–5.031.96–11.10
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.798.94safe2.93–7.361.79–5.794.73–13.15safer2.36–7.931.26–6.333.62–14.26
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.1451.00safe41.35–54.9344.22–57.79safer39.68–56.6042.55–59.46
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction394418812safe327–461351–484678–946safer309–479334–502642–981
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction81.4481.78safe77.41–85.4777.46–86.11safer76.12–86.7776.15–87.42
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8714.0925.96safe9.03–14.7111.14–17.0320.18–31.74safer8.28–15.4710.39–17.7818.67–33.25
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.443.06safe0.47–2.790.34–2.530.81–5.32safer0.16–3.090.05–2.820.22–5.90
Yellow cards
30%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.664.72safe1.01–3.111.53–3.792.54–6.89safer0.74–3.371.24–4.081.98–7.45
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
35%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.915.46safe1.11–3.991.35–4.472.47–8.45safer0.73–4.370.93–4.891.66–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.13 | 2.44 0.61–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 3.61 1.87–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 8.07 4.47–11.68 3.51–12.63 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.35 9.42–17.27 8.33–18.36 | 10.92 7.36–14.48 6.40–15.44 | 24.27 16.78–31.76 14.73–33.81 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.28 5.57–13.11 | 6.50 3.82–9.18 3.08–9.92 | 15.84 10.22–21.46 8.65–23.03 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.22–6.07 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.53 2.99–10.06 1.96–11.10 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.26–6.33 | 8.94 4.73–13.15 3.62–14.26 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 48.14 41.35–54.93 39.68–56.60 | 51.00 44.22–57.79 42.55–59.46 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 394 327–461 309–479 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 812 678–946 642–981 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.44 77.41–85.47 76.12–86.77 | 81.78 77.46–86.11 76.15–87.42 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.87 9.03–14.71 8.28–15.47 | 14.09 11.14–17.03 10.39–17.78 | 25.96 20.18–31.74 18.67–33.25 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 3.06 0.81–5.32 0.22–5.90 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.37 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 4.72 2.54–6.89 1.98–7.45 | 30% 18% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.99 0.73–4.37 | 2.91 1.35–4.47 0.93–4.89 | 5.46 2.47–8.45 1.66–9.26 | 35% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.