Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.502.90safe0.43–2.370.65–2.361.08–4.73safer0.18–2.620.42–2.590.60–5.21
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.479.23safe2.90–6.622.72–6.215.62–12.83safer2.41–7.112.26–6.674.67–13.79
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9112.7626.67safe9.98–17.839.20–16.3219.18–34.16safer8.89–18.928.24–17.2817.13–36.21
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.198.2817.47safe6.25–12.145.60–10.9611.85–23.09safer5.42–12.974.86–11.7010.28–24.66
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.237.11safe1.99–5.761.58–4.893.57–10.64safer1.45–6.301.09–5.382.54–11.68
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.299.41safe2.90–7.332.29–6.295.19–13.62safer2.33–7.901.76–6.834.09–14.73
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.3246.96safe46.53–60.1140.18–53.75safer44.86–61.7838.50–55.42
Passes
68%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction440382822safe373–507316–449688–956safer355–525298–466653–991
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction80.1677.98safe76.13–84.1973.65–82.30safer74.84–85.4872.35–83.61
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0214.3426.36safe9.18–14.8611.39–17.2820.58–32.14safer8.43–15.6110.65–18.0319.07–33.65
Offsides
58%
17%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.914.80safe1.73–4.050.81–3.002.55–7.05safer1.43–4.360.53–3.291.96–7.64
Yellow cards
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.715.01safe1.25–3.351.58–3.842.84–7.19safer0.99–3.621.29–4.132.28–7.75
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.150.29safe0.00–0.310.00–0.330.00–0.64safer0.00–0.460.00–0.470.00–0.92
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.336.55safe1.79–4.661.78–4.893.56–9.55safer1.40–5.041.35–5.312.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.90–6.62 2.41–7.11 | 4.47 2.72–6.21 2.26–6.67 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.98–17.83 8.89–18.92 | 12.76 9.20–16.32 8.24–17.28 | 26.67 19.18–34.16 17.13–36.21 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.19 6.25–12.14 5.42–12.97 | 8.28 5.60–10.96 4.86–11.70 | 17.47 11.85–23.09 10.28–24.66 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.23 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.90–7.33 2.33–7.90 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 9.41 5.19–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.32 46.53–60.11 44.86–61.78 | 46.96 40.18–53.75 38.50–55.42 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 822 688–956 653–991 | 68% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.16 76.13–84.19 74.84–85.48 | 77.98 73.65–82.30 72.35–83.61 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.02 9.18–14.86 8.43–15.61 | 14.34 11.39–17.28 10.65–18.03 | 26.36 20.58–32.14 19.07–33.65 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.36 | 1.91 0.81–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 4.80 2.55–7.05 1.96–7.64 | 58% 17% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.99–3.62 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 5.01 2.84–7.19 2.28–7.75 | 34% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.04 | 3.33 1.78–4.89 1.35–5.31 | 6.55 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.