Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.890.952.84safe0.92–2.860.10–1.801.02–4.66safer0.67–3.110.00–2.030.54–5.14
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.319.35safe4.18–7.901.57–5.055.74–12.95safer3.69–8.391.10–5.524.79–13.91
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.109.9227.03safe13.18–21.036.36–13.4919.54–34.52safer12.09–22.125.40–14.4517.49–36.57
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.766.5917.35safe7.81–13.703.91–9.2811.73–22.97safer6.98–14.533.18–10.0110.16–24.54
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.306.78safe2.59–6.350.65–3.963.24–10.31safer2.05–6.900.16–4.452.21–11.35
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.4110.06safe4.44–8.861.41–5.415.84–14.27safer3.86–9.440.87–5.944.74–15.38
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.5639.58safe53.76–67.3532.79–46.36safer52.10–69.0231.12–48.03
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction534354889safe467–602288–421755–1022safer449–620270–438719–1058
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction86.5978.91safe82.56–90.6274.58–83.23safer81.27–91.9173.27–84.54
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5511.6826.23safe11.71–17.388.73–14.6220.44–32.01safer10.95–18.147.98–15.3718.94–33.51
Offsides
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.643.00safe0.20–2.520.54–2.730.74–5.25safer0.00–2.820.26–3.020.16–5.84
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.904.00safe1.05–3.140.77–3.031.82–6.17safer0.78–3.410.48–3.321.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.314.096.41safe0.88–3.752.54–5.653.41–9.40safer0.49–4.142.11–6.072.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 0.95 0.10–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.04 4.18–7.90 3.69–8.39 | 3.31 1.57–5.05 1.10–5.52 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.10 13.18–21.03 12.09–22.12 | 9.92 6.36–13.49 5.40–14.45 | 27.03 19.54–34.52 17.49–36.57 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.76 7.81–13.70 6.98–14.53 | 6.59 3.91–9.28 3.18–10.01 | 17.35 11.73–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.05–6.90 | 2.30 0.65–3.96 0.16–4.45 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.21–11.35 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.44–8.86 3.86–9.44 | 3.41 1.41–5.41 0.87–5.94 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 81% |
| Possession % | 60.56 53.76–67.35 52.10–69.02 | 39.58 32.79–46.36 31.12–48.03 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 534 467–602 449–620 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.59 82.56–90.62 81.27–91.91 | 78.91 74.58–83.23 73.27–84.54 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 14.55 11.71–17.38 10.95–18.14 | 11.68 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 26.23 20.44–32.01 18.94–33.51 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.00 0.74–5.25 0.16–5.84 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.05–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 4.09 2.54–5.65 2.11–6.07 | 6.41 3.41–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.