Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.113.20safe0.12–2.051.26–2.971.37–5.02safer0.00–2.311.03–3.190.89–5.50
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.055.029.07safe2.19–5.913.28–6.765.47–12.68safer1.70–6.402.81–7.234.51–13.63
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7014.1525.85safe7.78–15.6310.59–17.7118.37–33.34safer6.69–16.729.63–18.6716.32–35.39
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction6.639.3716.01safe3.69–9.576.69–12.0510.38–21.63safer2.86–10.405.96–12.798.82–23.20
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.827.12safe1.42–5.192.16–5.473.59–10.66safer0.88–5.731.67–5.962.55–11.69
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.105.139.23safe1.89–6.323.13–7.135.02–13.44safer1.32–6.892.59–7.663.91–14.55
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.1258.77safe33.33–46.9151.99–65.56safer31.66–48.5850.32–67.23
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction338478816safe271–405412–545683–950safer253–424394–562647–986
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction79.2585.85safe75.22–83.2881.52–90.17safer73.93–84.5880.21–91.48
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2113.5425.74safe9.37–15.0410.59–16.4819.96–31.53safer8.61–15.809.84–17.2318.46–33.03
Offsides
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.314.59safe1.12–3.441.21–3.402.33–6.84safer0.82–3.740.92–3.691.74–7.43
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.053.89safe0.79–2.890.92–3.181.72–6.07safer0.53–3.160.63–3.471.16–6.63
Red cards
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.110.27safe0.00–0.320.00–0.300.00–0.62safer0.00–0.470.00–0.430.00–0.90
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.936.22safe1.85–4.721.38–4.493.22–9.21safer1.46–5.110.95–4.922.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 2.11 1.26–2.97 1.03–3.19 | 3.20 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 5.02 3.28–6.76 2.81–7.23 | 9.07 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.63 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.70 7.78–15.63 6.69–16.72 | 14.15 10.59–17.71 9.63–18.67 | 25.85 18.37–33.34 16.32–35.39 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 6.63 3.69–9.57 2.86–10.40 | 9.37 6.69–12.05 5.96–12.79 | 16.01 10.38–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.42–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 3.82 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.12 3.59–10.66 2.55–11.69 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.10 1.89–6.32 1.32–6.89 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.59–7.66 | 9.23 5.02–13.44 3.91–14.55 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 40.12 33.33–46.91 31.66–48.58 | 58.77 51.99–65.56 50.32–67.23 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 338 271–405 253–424 | 478 412–545 394–562 | 816 683–950 647–986 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.25 75.22–83.28 73.93–84.58 | 85.85 81.52–90.17 80.21–91.48 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.04 8.61–15.80 | 13.54 10.59–16.48 9.84–17.23 | 25.74 19.96–31.53 18.46–33.03 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 2.31 1.21–3.40 0.92–3.69 | 4.59 2.33–6.84 1.74–7.43 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.89 1.72–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 13% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.11 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.92 | 6.22 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.