Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.480.603.08safe1.51–3.450.00–1.461.26–4.90safer1.26–3.700.00–1.680.78–5.38
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction6.852.199.04safe4.99–8.710.45–3.935.43–12.64safer4.50–9.200.00–4.404.48–13.60
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.336.4725.80safe15.41–23.262.91–10.0318.32–33.29safer14.32–24.351.95–10.9916.27–35.34
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.113.6716.78safe10.17–16.050.99–6.3511.16–22.40safer9.34–16.880.25–7.099.59–23.97
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.831.826.65safe2.95–6.710.17–3.483.12–10.19safer2.41–7.260.00–3.972.08–11.23
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.222.8010.02safe5.01–9.440.80–4.805.81–14.23safer4.44–10.010.26–5.334.70–15.34
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.6632.84safe60.87–74.4526.06–39.63safer59.20–76.1224.39–41.30
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction636325961safe569–703259–391827–1095safer551–721241–409792–1131
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction86.2673.14safe82.23–90.2968.82–77.46safer80.94–91.5867.51–78.77
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6612.3223.98safe8.83–14.509.37–15.2618.20–29.76safer8.07–15.268.62–16.0116.69–31.27
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.363.35safe0.83–3.150.26–2.451.10–5.60safer0.53–3.460.00–2.740.51–6.19
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.993.39safe0.36–2.450.86–3.121.21–5.57safer0.09–2.720.57–3.410.66–6.13
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.834.206.03safe0.39–3.262.65–5.763.04–9.02safer0.00–3.652.22–6.182.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.48 1.51–3.45 1.26–3.70 | 0.60 0.00–1.46 0.00–1.68 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.85 4.99–8.71 4.50–9.20 | 2.19 0.45–3.93 0.00–4.40 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.33 15.41–23.26 14.32–24.35 | 6.47 2.91–10.03 1.95–10.99 | 25.80 18.32–33.29 16.27–35.34 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.11 10.17–16.05 9.34–16.88 | 3.67 0.99–6.35 0.25–7.09 | 16.78 11.16–22.40 9.59–23.97 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.71 2.41–7.26 | 1.82 0.17–3.48 0.00–3.97 | 6.65 3.12–10.19 2.08–11.23 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.22 5.01–9.44 4.44–10.01 | 2.80 0.80–4.80 0.26–5.33 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 90% |
| Possession % | 67.66 60.87–74.45 59.20–76.12 | 32.84 26.06–39.63 24.39–41.30 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 636 569–703 551–721 | 325 259–391 241–409 | 961 827–1095 792–1131 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.26 82.23–90.29 80.94–91.58 | 73.14 68.82–77.46 67.51–78.77 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.66 8.83–14.50 8.07–15.26 | 12.32 9.37–15.26 8.62–16.01 | 23.98 18.20–29.76 16.69–31.27 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.46 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.83 0.39–3.26 0.00–3.65 | 4.20 2.65–5.76 2.22–6.18 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

