Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.402.54safe0.17–2.100.55–2.250.71–4.36safer0.00–2.360.32–2.480.23–4.84
Shots on target
33%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.774.578.34safe1.91–5.632.83–6.314.74–11.95safer1.42–6.122.36–6.783.78–12.90
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4414.1825.62safe7.52–15.3710.62–17.7418.14–33.11safer6.43–16.469.66–18.7016.09–35.16
Shots in box
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction6.678.9815.65safe3.73–9.616.30–11.6610.03–21.28safer2.90–10.445.57–12.408.46–22.84
Blocked shots
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.836.69safe0.97–4.742.18–5.493.15–10.22safer0.43–5.281.69–5.982.12–11.26
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.029.35safe2.12–6.543.02–7.025.13–13.56safer1.54–7.122.49–7.554.03–14.67
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.3750.74safe42.58–56.1643.96–57.53safer40.91–57.8342.28–59.20
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction396412808safe329–463345–478674–941safer311–482328–496638–977
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction78.4580.87safe74.42–82.4876.55–85.20safer73.13–83.7775.24–86.51
Fouls
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5215.1826.71safe8.69–14.3612.24–18.1320.93–32.49safer7.93–15.1211.49–18.8819.42–34.00
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.613.21safe0.44–2.760.52–2.700.95–5.46safer0.13–3.060.23–2.990.36–6.05
Yellow cards
39%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.575.06safe1.44–3.541.44–3.702.88–7.24safer1.17–3.801.15–3.992.32–7.79
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.140.27safe0.00–0.280.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.430.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.675.93safe1.82–4.691.12–4.232.93–8.92safer1.43–5.080.69–4.652.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.36 | 1.40 0.55–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.77 1.91–5.63 1.42–6.12 | 4.57 2.83–6.31 2.36–6.78 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 33% 14% 54% |
| Total shots | 11.44 7.52–15.37 6.43–16.46 | 14.18 10.62–17.74 9.66–18.70 | 25.62 18.14–33.11 16.09–35.16 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 6.67 3.73–9.61 2.90–10.44 | 8.98 6.30–11.66 5.57–12.40 | 15.65 10.03–21.28 8.46–22.84 | 24% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.74 0.43–5.28 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 6.69 3.15–10.22 2.12–11.26 | 28% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.54 1.54–7.12 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.49–7.55 | 9.35 5.13–13.56 4.03–14.67 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 49.37 42.58–56.16 40.91–57.83 | 50.74 43.96–57.53 42.28–59.20 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 311–482 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 808 674–941 638–977 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.45 74.42–82.48 73.13–83.77 | 80.87 76.55–85.20 75.24–86.51 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.69–14.36 7.93–15.12 | 15.18 12.24–18.13 11.49–18.88 | 26.71 20.93–32.49 19.42–34.00 | 21% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.13–3.06 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.49 1.44–3.54 1.17–3.80 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 5.06 2.88–7.24 2.32–7.79 | 39% 18% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 2.67 1.12–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 5.93 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.