Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.742.99safe0.28–2.220.89–2.591.16–4.81safer0.03–2.470.66–2.820.68–5.29
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.159.31safe2.30–6.033.41–6.895.71–12.92safer1.81–6.522.94–7.364.75–13.87
Total shots
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7214.7226.44safe7.80–15.6511.16–18.2818.95–33.93safer6.71–16.7410.20–19.2416.90–35.98
Shots in box
33%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.229.5117.72safe5.28–11.166.83–12.1912.10–23.35safer4.45–11.996.09–12.9210.53–24.91
Blocked shots
24%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.954.377.32safe1.07–4.832.72–6.023.78–10.85safer0.52–5.382.22–6.512.75–11.89
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.5310.01safe2.27–6.703.53–7.535.80–14.22safer1.70–7.272.99–8.064.69–15.33
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.0063.42safe29.21–42.7956.64–70.21safer27.54–44.4654.96–71.88
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction267479747safe200–334413–546613–880safer182–353395–563577–916
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction67.7979.79safe63.76–71.8275.47–84.12safer62.47–73.1174.16–85.43
Fouls
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7711.7326.50safe11.93–17.608.79–14.6820.72–32.28safer11.17–18.368.04–15.4319.21–33.79
Offsides
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.623.84safe1.06–3.380.53–2.711.59–6.10safer0.76–3.690.24–3.001.00–6.69
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.134.42safe1.24–3.341.00–3.262.24–6.59safer0.97–3.600.71–3.551.68–7.15
Red cards
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.120.29safe0.00–0.320.00–0.310.00–0.64safer0.00–0.470.00–0.440.00–0.92
GK saves
49%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.816.10safe1.86–4.731.26–4.373.11–9.10safer1.47–5.120.83–4.792.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.74 0.89–2.59 0.66–2.82 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.03 1.81–6.52 | 5.15 3.41–6.89 2.94–7.36 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.72 7.80–15.65 6.71–16.74 | 14.72 11.16–18.28 10.20–19.24 | 26.44 18.95–33.93 16.90–35.98 | 25% 69% |
| Shots in box | 8.22 5.28–11.16 4.45–11.99 | 9.51 6.83–12.19 6.09–12.92 | 17.72 12.10–23.35 10.53–24.91 | 33% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 2.95 1.07–4.83 0.52–5.38 | 4.37 2.72–6.02 2.22–6.51 | 7.32 3.78–10.85 2.75–11.89 | 24% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 4.48 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.53 3.53–7.53 2.99–8.06 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 36.00 29.21–42.79 27.54–44.46 | 63.42 56.64–70.21 54.96–71.88 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 267 200–334 182–353 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 747 613–880 577–916 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.79 63.76–71.82 62.47–73.11 | 79.79 75.47–84.12 74.16–85.43 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 14.77 11.93–17.60 11.17–18.36 | 11.73 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 26.50 20.72–32.28 19.21–33.79 | 69% 25% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.69 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.97–3.60 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.42 2.24–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 13% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 2.81 1.26–4.37 0.83–4.79 | 6.10 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 49% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.