Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.022.38safe0.39–2.320.17–1.880.56–4.20safer0.14–2.580.00–2.110.08–4.68
Shots on target
53%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.918.52safe2.75–6.482.17–5.654.92–12.13safer2.26–6.971.70–6.123.96–13.09
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2412.0626.30safe10.31–18.168.50–15.6218.81–33.78safer9.22–19.257.54–16.5816.76–35.83
Shots in box
61%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.747.1015.83safe5.79–11.684.42–9.7810.21–21.46safer4.97–12.513.68–10.528.64–23.02
Blocked shots
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.417.51safe2.21–5.981.76–5.073.97–11.04safer1.67–6.521.27–5.562.94–12.08
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.5210.03safe3.29–7.722.52–6.525.81–14.24safer2.72–8.301.99–7.054.71–15.35
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.4944.59safe48.70–62.2937.80–51.37safer47.03–63.9536.13–53.04
Passes
74%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction452374826safe385–520307–440692–960safer367–538290–458657–995
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction84.2279.89safe80.19–88.2575.57–84.22safer78.90–89.5474.26–85.53
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3013.5925.90safe9.47–15.1410.65–16.5420.12–31.68safer8.71–15.909.90–17.2918.61–33.18
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.453.25safe0.63–2.960.36–2.540.99–5.50safer0.33–3.260.07–2.830.40–6.09
Yellow cards
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.444.60safe1.11–3.211.31–3.572.42–6.78safer0.85–3.481.02–3.861.87–7.34
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.195.92safe1.29–4.161.64–4.752.93–8.91safer0.90–4.551.21–5.172.12–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.58 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.38 0.56–4.20 0.08–4.68 | 44% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.75–6.48 2.26–6.97 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 8.52 4.92–12.13 3.96–13.09 | 53% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.31–18.16 9.22–19.25 | 12.06 8.50–15.62 7.54–16.58 | 26.30 18.81–33.78 16.76–35.83 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.74 5.79–11.68 4.97–12.51 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.52 | 15.83 10.21–21.46 8.64–23.02 | 61% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 3.41 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.30 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.05 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 55.49 48.70–62.29 47.03–63.95 | 44.59 37.80–51.37 36.13–53.04 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 452 385–520 367–538 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 826 692–960 657–995 | 74% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.22 80.19–88.25 78.90–89.54 | 79.89 75.57–84.22 74.26–85.53 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 12.30 9.47–15.14 8.71–15.90 | 13.59 10.65–16.54 9.90–17.29 | 25.90 20.12–31.68 18.61–33.18 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.63–2.96 0.33–3.26 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.25 0.99–5.50 0.40–6.09 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 4.60 2.42–6.78 1.87–7.34 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.19 1.64–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.12–9.72 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.