Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
23%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.820.912.72safe0.85–2.780.05–1.760.90–4.54safer0.60–3.030.00–1.990.42–5.02
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.442.968.40safe3.58–7.301.21–4.704.79–12.00safer3.09–7.790.75–5.173.83–12.96
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.899.6526.54safe12.96–20.816.08–13.2119.05–34.02safer11.87–21.915.12–14.1717.00–36.07
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.115.6916.80safe8.16–14.053.01–8.3711.18–22.42safer7.33–14.882.28–9.119.61–23.99
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.372.536.90safe2.48–6.250.88–4.183.36–10.43safer1.94–6.790.39–4.682.33–11.47
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.579.70safe3.92–8.351.57–5.575.49–13.92safer3.35–8.921.04–6.104.38–15.02
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.6038.77safe54.81–68.3931.99–45.56safer53.14–70.0630.32–47.23
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction557347904safe490–625280–413770–1038safer472–643263–431735–1073
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction86.7478.17safe82.71–90.7773.84–82.49safer81.42–92.0672.54–83.80
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3513.8527.19safe10.51–16.1910.90–16.7921.41–32.98safer9.75–16.9410.15–17.5419.91–34.48
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.212.86safe0.49–2.810.11–2.300.60–5.11safer0.19–3.110.00–2.590.01–5.70
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.344.26safe0.87–2.971.21–3.472.08–6.44safer0.60–3.240.92–3.761.52–6.99
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.845.97safe0.69–3.562.28–5.392.97–8.96safer0.30–3.951.86–5.822.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.78 0.60–3.03 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 59% 23% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.30 3.09–7.79 | 2.96 1.21–4.70 0.75–5.17 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.96 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.89 12.96–20.81 11.87–21.91 | 9.65 6.08–13.21 5.12–14.17 | 26.54 19.05–34.02 17.00–36.07 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.11 8.16–14.05 7.33–14.88 | 5.69 3.01–8.37 2.28–9.11 | 16.80 11.18–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.48–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 2.53 0.88–4.18 0.39–4.68 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.33–11.47 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 3.57 1.57–5.57 1.04–6.10 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 61.60 54.81–68.39 53.14–70.06 | 38.77 31.99–45.56 30.32–47.23 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 557 490–625 472–643 | 347 280–413 263–431 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.74 82.71–90.77 81.42–92.06 | 78.17 73.84–82.49 72.54–83.80 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.35 10.51–16.19 9.75–16.94 | 13.85 10.90–16.79 10.15–17.54 | 27.19 21.41–32.98 19.91–34.48 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.21 0.11–2.30 0.00–2.59 | 2.86 0.60–5.11 0.01–5.70 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.24 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.26 2.08–6.44 1.52–6.99 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.84 2.28–5.39 1.86–5.82 | 5.97 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+