Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.012.37safe0.39–2.330.15–1.860.54–4.19safer0.14–2.580.00–2.090.06–4.67
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.348.06safe2.86–6.591.60–5.084.46–11.67safer2.37–7.081.13–5.553.50–12.62
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction14.549.6224.16safe10.62–18.476.06–13.1816.67–31.65safer9.53–19.565.10–14.1414.62–33.70
Shots in box
66%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction8.666.5315.18safe5.72–11.603.84–9.219.56–20.81safer4.89–12.433.11–9.947.99–22.37
Blocked shots
63%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.466.28safe1.94–5.710.80–4.112.75–9.82safer1.40–6.250.31–4.601.71–10.85
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.939.12safe2.98–7.411.93–5.934.91–13.33safer2.41–7.981.39–6.463.80–14.44
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.2244.98safe48.43–62.0138.20–51.77safer46.76–63.6836.53–53.44
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction455359814safe388–522292–425680–947safer370–540275–443644–983
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction82.3477.79safe78.31–86.3773.47–82.12safer77.02–87.6672.16–83.43
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6212.1325.75safe10.79–16.469.18–15.0719.97–31.53safer10.03–17.228.43–15.8218.46–33.04
Offsides
46%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.513.38safe0.71–3.030.41–2.601.12–5.63safer0.41–3.330.13–2.890.53–6.22
Yellow cards
32%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.574.64safe1.02–3.121.45–3.702.46–6.82safer0.75–3.381.15–4.001.91–7.38
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
23%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.375.54safe0.74–3.611.81–4.932.55–8.54safer0.35–4.001.39–5.351.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.37 0.54–4.19 0.06–4.67 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 3.34 1.60–5.08 1.13–5.55 | 8.06 4.46–11.67 3.50–12.62 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.54 10.62–18.47 9.53–19.56 | 9.62 6.06–13.18 5.10–14.14 | 24.16 16.67–31.65 14.62–33.70 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 8.66 5.72–11.60 4.89–12.43 | 6.53 3.84–9.21 3.11–9.94 | 15.18 9.56–20.81 7.99–22.37 | 66% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 2.46 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 6.28 2.75–9.82 1.71–10.85 | 63% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.98 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.39–6.46 | 9.12 4.91–13.33 3.80–14.44 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 55.22 48.43–62.01 46.76–63.68 | 44.98 38.20–51.77 36.53–53.44 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 455 388–522 370–540 | 359 292–425 275–443 | 814 680–947 644–983 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.34 78.31–86.37 77.02–87.66 | 77.79 73.47–82.12 72.16–83.43 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 13.62 10.79–16.46 10.03–17.22 | 12.13 9.18–15.07 8.43–15.82 | 25.75 19.97–31.53 18.46–33.04 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 46% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.75–3.38 | 2.57 1.45–3.70 1.15–4.00 | 4.64 2.46–6.82 1.91–7.38 | 32% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.37 1.81–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 5.54 2.55–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 23% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+