Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.963.22safe0.29–2.221.11–2.821.40–5.04safer0.04–2.470.88–3.050.92–5.52
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.825.439.25safe1.96–5.683.69–7.175.65–12.86safer1.47–6.173.22–7.644.69–13.81
Total shots
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9414.1225.06safe7.02–14.8710.55–17.6817.57–32.55safer5.93–15.969.60–18.6415.52–34.60
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction6.679.7516.42safe3.72–9.617.07–12.4410.80–22.04safer2.89–10.446.34–13.179.23–23.61
Blocked shots
36%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.536.62safe1.21–4.971.88–5.183.08–10.16safer0.66–5.511.39–5.682.05–11.19
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.475.089.55safe2.26–6.693.08–7.085.33–13.76safer1.69–7.262.54–7.614.23–14.87
Possession %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction46.9853.74safe40.19–53.7746.96–60.53safer38.52–55.4445.29–62.20
Passes
33%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction405456861safe338–473390–522728–995safer320–491372–540692–1031
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction79.9081.17safe75.87–83.9376.84–85.49safer74.57–85.2275.54–86.80
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4612.4524.91safe9.63–15.309.50–15.3919.13–30.69safer8.87–16.068.75–16.1417.62–32.20
Offsides
15%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.964.35safe0.24–2.561.86–4.052.10–6.61safer0.00–2.861.58–4.341.51–7.20
Yellow cards
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.354.61safe1.21–3.311.22–3.482.43–6.79safer0.95–3.580.93–3.771.87–7.35
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.716.20safe2.06–4.931.15–4.263.21–9.20safer1.67–5.320.73–4.692.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.47 | 1.96 1.11–2.82 0.88–3.05 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.96–5.68 1.47–6.17 | 5.43 3.69–7.17 3.22–7.64 | 9.25 5.65–12.86 4.69–13.81 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 10.94 7.02–14.87 5.93–15.96 | 14.12 10.55–17.68 9.60–18.64 | 25.06 17.57–32.55 15.52–34.60 | 23% 70% |
| Shots in box | 6.67 3.72–9.61 2.89–10.44 | 9.75 7.07–12.44 6.34–13.17 | 16.42 10.80–22.04 9.23–23.61 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.21–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 3.53 1.88–5.18 1.39–5.68 | 6.62 3.08–10.16 2.05–11.19 | 36% 16% 49% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.26–6.69 1.69–7.26 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.54–7.61 | 9.55 5.33–13.76 4.23–14.87 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 46.98 40.19–53.77 38.52–55.44 | 53.74 46.96–60.53 45.29–62.20 | — | 32% 63% |
| Passes | 405 338–473 320–491 | 456 390–522 372–540 | 861 728–995 692–1031 | 33% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.90 75.87–83.93 74.57–85.22 | 81.17 76.84–85.49 75.54–86.80 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.63–15.30 8.87–16.06 | 12.45 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.14 | 24.91 19.13–30.69 17.62–32.20 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.96 1.86–4.05 1.58–4.34 | 4.35 2.10–6.61 1.51–7.20 | 15% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.95–3.58 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.61 2.43–6.79 1.87–7.35 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 2.71 1.15–4.26 0.73–4.69 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.