Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.982.94safe0.99–2.930.12–1.831.12–4.76safer0.74–3.180.00–2.060.64–5.24
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.128.75safe3.77–7.501.38–4.865.15–12.36safer3.28–7.990.91–5.334.19–13.32
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.289.1826.46safe13.36–21.215.61–12.7418.97–33.94safer12.26–22.304.65–13.7016.92–35.99
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.935.3616.29safe7.99–13.872.68–8.0410.67–21.91safer7.16–14.701.94–8.789.10–23.48
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.582.086.66safe2.69–6.460.43–3.743.13–10.20safer2.15–7.000.00–4.232.09–11.23
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.419.74safe4.12–8.541.41–5.415.53–13.96safer3.54–9.120.88–5.954.42–15.06
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.2145.14safe48.42–62.0038.35–51.92safer46.75–63.6736.68–53.59
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction509413923safe442–577347–480789–1056safer424–595329–497753–1092
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction83.0879.00safe79.06–87.1174.67–83.32safer77.76–88.4173.36–84.63
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6013.8327.44safe10.77–16.4410.89–16.7821.65–33.22safer10.01–17.2010.14–17.5320.15–34.72
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.803.32safe0.36–2.680.71–2.891.07–5.58safer0.06–2.980.42–3.180.48–6.16
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.654.41safe0.71–2.811.52–3.782.23–6.59safer0.45–3.081.23–4.071.68–7.15
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.150.24safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.400.00–0.470.00–0.87
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.675.96safe0.86–3.732.11–5.222.97–8.96safer0.47–4.121.69–5.652.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 60% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.64 3.77–7.50 3.28–7.99 | 3.12 1.38–4.86 0.91–5.33 | 8.75 5.15–12.36 4.19–13.32 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.28 13.36–21.21 12.26–22.30 | 9.18 5.61–12.74 4.65–13.70 | 26.46 18.97–33.94 16.92–35.99 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.93 7.99–13.87 7.16–14.70 | 5.36 2.68–8.04 1.94–8.78 | 16.29 10.67–21.91 9.10–23.48 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.69–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 2.08 0.43–3.74 0.00–4.23 | 6.66 3.13–10.20 2.09–11.23 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.12–8.54 3.54–9.12 | 3.41 1.41–5.41 0.88–5.95 | 9.74 5.53–13.96 4.42–15.06 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 55.21 48.42–62.00 46.75–63.67 | 45.14 38.35–51.92 36.68–53.59 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 509 442–577 424–595 | 413 347–480 329–497 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.08 79.06–87.11 77.76–88.41 | 79.00 74.67–83.32 73.36–84.63 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 13.60 10.77–16.44 10.01–17.20 | 13.83 10.89–16.78 10.14–17.53 | 27.44 21.65–33.22 20.15–34.72 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.16 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.65 1.52–3.78 1.23–4.07 | 4.41 2.23–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 5.96 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.