Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
29%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.182.20safe0.05–1.980.33–2.030.37–4.02safer0.00–2.230.10–2.260.00–4.50
Shots on target
40%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.897.59safe1.83–5.552.15–5.643.98–11.19safer1.34–6.041.69–6.103.03–12.15
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6511.8623.51safe7.72–15.578.30–15.4316.03–31.00safer6.63–16.667.34–16.3913.98–33.05
Shots in box
40%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction6.987.4114.39safe4.03–9.924.73–10.098.76–20.01safer3.20–10.753.99–10.837.20–21.58
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.906.11safe1.33–5.101.25–4.552.58–9.65safer0.79–5.640.75–5.041.54–10.68
Corners
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.588.84safe2.05–6.482.58–6.584.63–13.05safer1.48–7.052.04–7.113.52–14.16
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.4753.12safe39.68–53.2646.33–59.90safer38.01–54.9344.66–61.57
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction398461859safe331–465395–528726–993safer313–483377–545690–1029
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction80.8083.34safe76.77–84.8379.02–87.67safer75.48–86.1277.71–88.98
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3612.5225.88safe10.53–16.209.58–15.4720.10–31.67safer9.77–16.968.83–16.2118.60–33.17
Offsides
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.522.77safe0.09–2.410.43–2.610.52–5.02safer0.00–2.710.14–2.900.00–5.61
Yellow cards
38%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.114.16safe0.99–3.090.99–3.241.98–6.33safer0.73–3.360.69–3.541.42–6.89
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.595.21safe1.18–4.051.04–4.152.22–8.20safer0.79–4.440.61–4.571.40–9.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.18 0.33–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 2.20 0.37–4.02 0.00–4.50 | 31% 29% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.55 1.34–6.04 | 3.89 2.15–5.64 1.69–6.10 | 7.59 3.98–11.19 3.03–12.15 | 40% 15% 46% |
| Total shots | 11.65 7.72–15.57 6.63–16.66 | 11.86 8.30–15.43 7.34–16.39 | 23.51 16.03–31.00 13.98–33.05 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 6.98 4.03–9.92 3.20–10.75 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 14.39 8.76–20.01 7.20–21.58 | 40% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.10 0.79–5.64 | 2.90 1.25–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 6.11 2.58–9.65 1.54–10.68 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 4.26 2.05–6.48 1.48–7.05 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.04–7.11 | 8.84 4.63–13.05 3.52–14.16 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Possession % | 46.47 39.68–53.26 38.01–54.93 | 53.12 46.33–59.90 44.66–61.57 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 398 331–465 313–483 | 461 395–528 377–545 | 859 726–993 690–1029 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.80 76.77–84.83 75.48–86.12 | 83.34 79.02–87.67 77.71–88.98 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.36 10.53–16.20 9.77–16.96 | 12.52 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.21 | 25.88 20.10–31.67 18.60–33.17 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.25 0.09–2.41 0.00–2.71 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 2.77 0.52–5.02 0.00–5.61 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.54 | 4.16 1.98–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 38% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 2.59 1.04–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 5.21 2.22–8.20 1.40–9.01 | 41% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.