Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.460.913.37safe1.50–3.430.05–1.761.55–5.19safer1.24–3.680.00–1.991.07–5.67
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.452.9510.40safe5.59–9.311.21–4.706.80–14.01safer5.10–9.800.75–5.165.84–14.96
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.987.6728.65safe17.05–24.904.11–11.2321.16–36.13safer15.96–25.993.15–12.1919.11–38.18
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.674.6719.34safe11.73–17.611.99–7.3513.72–24.97safer10.90–18.441.26–8.0912.15–26.53
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.292.237.51safe3.41–7.170.57–3.883.98–11.05safer2.86–7.710.08–4.372.94–12.09
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.472.7710.24safe5.25–9.680.77–4.776.03–14.45safer4.68–10.250.24–5.314.92–15.56
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.7738.76safe53.98–67.5631.97–45.54safer52.31–69.2330.30–47.21
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction517329847safe450–584263–396713–980safer432–603245–413677–1016
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction86.1878.20safe82.15–90.2173.87–82.52safer80.86–91.5072.56–83.83
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4412.3024.75safe9.60–15.289.36–15.2518.96–30.53safer8.85–16.038.61–16.0017.46–32.03
Offsides
28%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.163.72safe0.40–2.721.07–3.261.47–5.98safer0.10–3.020.78–3.540.88–6.57
Yellow cards
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.343.77safe0.38–2.481.21–3.471.59–5.95safer0.12–2.750.92–3.761.03–6.50
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.150.19safe0.00–0.200.00–0.330.00–0.54safer0.00–0.350.00–0.470.00–0.82
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.064.726.78safe0.63–3.503.16–6.283.79–9.77safer0.24–3.882.74–6.702.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.46 1.50–3.43 1.24–3.68 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.37 1.55–5.19 1.07–5.67 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.45 5.59–9.31 5.10–9.80 | 2.95 1.21–4.70 0.75–5.16 | 10.40 6.80–14.01 5.84–14.96 | 90% |
| Total shots | 20.98 17.05–24.90 15.96–25.99 | 7.67 4.11–11.23 3.15–12.19 | 28.65 21.16–36.13 19.11–38.18 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.67 11.73–17.61 10.90–18.44 | 4.67 1.99–7.35 1.26–8.09 | 19.34 13.72–24.97 12.15–26.53 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.29 3.41–7.17 2.86–7.71 | 2.23 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 7.51 3.98–11.05 2.94–12.09 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.47 5.25–9.68 4.68–10.25 | 2.77 0.77–4.77 0.24–5.31 | 10.24 6.03–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 91% |
| Possession % | 60.77 53.98–67.56 52.31–69.23 | 38.76 31.97–45.54 30.30–47.21 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–603 | 329 263–396 245–413 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.18 82.15–90.21 80.86–91.50 | 78.20 73.87–82.52 72.56–83.83 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.28 8.85–16.03 | 12.30 9.36–15.25 8.61–16.00 | 24.75 18.96–30.53 17.46–32.03 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.16 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.54 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 28% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.88 | 4.72 3.16–6.28 2.74–6.70 | 6.78 3.79–9.77 2.98–10.59 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

