Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.262.59safe0.37–2.300.40–2.110.77–4.41safer0.11–2.550.17–2.340.29–4.89
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.379.01safe2.78–6.502.63–6.115.41–12.62safer2.29–6.992.16–6.584.45–13.57
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8511.7325.58safe9.93–17.788.16–15.2918.09–33.07safer8.84–18.877.20–16.2516.04–35.12
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.077.0016.06safe6.12–12.014.32–9.6810.44–21.69safer5.29–12.843.58–10.428.87–23.25
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.226.66safe1.55–5.321.57–4.883.12–10.19safer1.01–5.861.08–5.372.09–11.23
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.349.79safe3.24–7.662.34–6.345.58–14.01safer2.66–8.241.81–6.884.47–15.11
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.5948.69safe44.80–58.3841.91–55.48safer43.13–60.0540.23–57.15
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction399384783safe332–467317–450650–917safer314–485300–468614–953
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction81.2381.00safe77.20–85.2676.68–85.33safer75.91–86.5575.37–86.64
Fouls
65%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8713.3329.20safe13.03–18.7110.38–16.2723.41–34.98safer12.28–19.469.63–17.0221.91–36.48
Offsides
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.263.72safe1.30–3.620.17–2.351.46–5.97safer0.99–3.920.00–2.640.87–6.56
Yellow cards
36%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.174.16safe0.94–3.041.04–3.301.98–6.34safer0.67–3.300.75–3.591.42–6.89
Red cards
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.100.26safe0.00–0.320.00–0.290.00–0.61safer0.00–0.470.00–0.420.00–0.89
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.026.02safe1.57–4.441.46–4.583.03–9.01safer1.18–4.821.04–5.002.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.37–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.50 2.29–6.99 | 4.37 2.63–6.11 2.16–6.58 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.85 9.93–17.78 8.84–18.87 | 11.73 8.16–15.29 7.20–16.25 | 25.58 18.09–33.07 16.04–35.12 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.12–12.01 5.29–12.84 | 7.00 4.32–9.68 3.58–10.42 | 16.06 10.44–21.69 8.87–23.25 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 3.22 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.09–11.23 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.66 2.66–8.24 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 51.59 44.80–58.38 43.13–60.05 | 48.69 41.91–55.48 40.23–57.15 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 399 332–467 314–485 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 783 650–917 614–953 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.23 77.20–85.26 75.91–86.55 | 81.00 76.68–85.33 75.37–86.64 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 15.87 13.03–18.71 12.28–19.46 | 13.33 10.38–16.27 9.63–17.02 | 29.20 23.41–34.98 21.91–36.48 | 65% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.62 0.99–3.92 | 1.26 0.17–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.42–6.89 | 36% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 13% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.82 | 3.02 1.46–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.22–9.83 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.