Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.052.43safe0.41–2.350.20–1.910.61–4.26safer0.16–2.600.00–2.140.13–4.73
Shots on target
54%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.908.62safe2.86–6.582.15–5.645.01–12.22safer2.37–7.071.69–6.104.06–13.18
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3511.8627.20safe11.42–19.278.29–15.4219.72–34.69safer10.33–20.367.33–16.3817.67–36.74
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.277.7216.99safe6.33–12.215.04–10.4011.37–22.61safer5.50–13.044.30–11.149.80–24.18
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.227.19safe2.09–5.851.57–4.883.66–10.73safer1.55–6.401.08–5.372.62–11.76
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.8110.56safe3.53–7.962.81–6.816.34–14.77safer2.96–8.532.28–7.345.23–15.88
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.7942.56safe51.00–64.5835.77–49.34safer49.33–66.2534.10–51.01
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction435295731safe368–503229–362597–864safer350–521211–379561–900
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction78.9071.15safe74.87–82.9366.83–75.47safer73.57–84.2265.52–76.78
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4414.7927.24safe9.61–15.2811.85–17.7421.45–33.02safer8.85–16.0411.10–18.4919.95–34.52
Offsides
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.823.41safe0.43–2.750.72–2.911.15–5.66safer0.13–3.050.44–3.200.56–6.25
Yellow cards
34%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.544.70safe1.11–3.201.41–3.672.52–6.88safer0.84–3.471.12–3.961.96–7.43
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
30%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.185.64safe1.03–3.901.62–4.732.65–8.64safer0.64–4.291.20–5.161.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.43 0.61–4.26 0.13–4.73 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.58 2.37–7.07 | 3.90 2.15–5.64 1.69–6.10 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 54% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.35 11.42–19.27 10.33–20.36 | 11.86 8.29–15.42 7.33–16.38 | 27.20 19.72–34.69 17.67–36.74 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.21 5.50–13.04 | 7.72 5.04–10.40 4.30–11.14 | 16.99 11.37–22.61 9.80–24.18 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.85 1.55–6.40 | 3.22 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.53 | 4.81 2.81–6.81 2.28–7.34 | 10.56 6.34–14.77 5.23–15.88 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 57.79 51.00–64.58 49.33–66.25 | 42.56 35.77–49.34 34.10–51.01 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 435 368–503 350–521 | 295 229–362 211–379 | 731 597–864 561–900 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.90 74.87–82.93 73.57–84.22 | 71.15 66.83–75.47 65.52–76.78 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.61–15.28 8.85–16.04 | 14.79 11.85–17.74 11.10–18.49 | 27.24 21.45–33.02 19.95–34.52 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.82 0.72–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.20 0.84–3.47 | 2.54 1.41–3.67 1.12–3.96 | 4.70 2.52–6.88 1.96–7.43 | 34% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 3.18 1.62–4.73 1.20–5.16 | 5.64 2.65–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 30% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+