Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.042.64safe0.63–2.570.19–1.900.82–4.46safer0.38–2.820.00–2.130.34–4.94
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.953.648.60safe3.09–6.821.90–5.384.99–12.20safer2.60–7.311.43–5.854.04–13.16
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4010.7525.15safe10.48–18.337.18–14.3117.66–32.64safer9.39–19.426.22–15.2715.61–34.69
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.716.5316.23safe6.76–12.653.85–9.2110.61–21.86safer5.93–13.483.11–9.959.04–23.42
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.796.81safe2.14–5.911.13–4.443.28–10.35safer1.60–6.450.64–4.932.24–11.38
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.179.57safe3.19–7.622.17–6.175.36–13.79safer2.62–8.201.63–6.704.25–14.89
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3945.56safe47.60–61.1838.78–52.35safer45.93–62.8537.11–54.02
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction451376827safe384–519310–442694–961safer366–537292–460658–997
Pass accuracy %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction83.3180.74safe79.29–87.3476.41–85.06safer77.99–88.6475.11–86.37
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8012.6327.43safe11.97–17.649.69–15.5821.65–33.22safer11.21–18.408.94–16.3220.15–34.72
Offsides
33%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.603.00safe0.24–2.560.51–2.700.75–5.26safer0.00–2.860.22–2.990.16–5.85
Yellow cards
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.454.66safe1.16–3.261.32–3.582.48–6.84safer0.89–3.531.03–3.871.93–7.40
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.385.93safe1.11–3.991.82–4.932.94–8.92safer0.73–4.371.40–5.362.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 3.64 1.90–5.38 1.43–5.85 | 8.60 4.99–12.20 4.04–13.16 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.40 10.48–18.33 9.39–19.42 | 10.75 7.18–14.31 6.22–15.27 | 25.15 17.66–32.64 15.61–34.69 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.76–12.65 5.93–13.48 | 6.53 3.85–9.21 3.11–9.95 | 16.23 10.61–21.86 9.04–23.42 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.14–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 2.79 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.63–6.70 | 9.57 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.89 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.39 47.60–61.18 45.93–62.85 | 45.56 38.78–52.35 37.11–54.02 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 451 384–519 366–537 | 376 310–442 292–460 | 827 694–961 658–997 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.31 79.29–87.34 77.99–88.64 | 80.74 76.41–85.06 75.11–86.37 | — | 61% 35% |
| Fouls | 14.80 11.97–17.64 11.21–18.40 | 12.63 9.69–15.58 8.94–16.32 | 27.43 21.65–33.22 20.15–34.72 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 33% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.89–3.53 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.66 2.48–6.84 1.93–7.40 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.99 0.73–4.37 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.