Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.292.86safe0.60–2.540.44–2.151.04–4.68safer0.35–2.790.21–2.370.56–5.16
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.399.27safe3.02–6.742.65–6.135.67–12.88safer2.53–7.232.18–6.604.71–13.83
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5811.9925.57safe9.65–17.508.43–15.5518.08–33.06safer8.56–18.607.47–16.5116.03–35.11
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.557.1815.73safe5.61–11.504.50–9.8610.11–21.35safer4.78–12.323.76–10.608.54–22.92
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.756.13safe1.49–5.251.10–4.412.59–9.66safer0.95–5.800.61–4.901.56–10.70
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.169.23safe2.86–7.292.16–6.165.02–13.44safer2.29–7.861.62–6.693.91–14.55
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.1150.56safe42.32–55.9043.77–57.34safer40.65–57.5742.10–59.01
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction407440847safe340–475373–506714–981safer322–493356–524678–1017
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction80.8383.24safe76.80–84.8678.91–87.56safer75.51–86.1577.60–88.87
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8014.5725.37safe7.96–13.6411.63–17.5219.59–31.16safer7.21–14.3910.88–18.2618.09–32.66
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.933.78safe0.70–3.020.83–3.021.53–6.04safer0.40–3.320.54–3.310.94–6.63
Yellow cards
34%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.534.66safe1.08–3.181.40–3.652.48–6.83safer0.81–3.451.11–3.951.92–7.39
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.226.22safe1.56–4.431.66–4.773.22–9.21safer1.17–4.821.24–5.202.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.37 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.58 9.65–17.50 8.56–18.60 | 11.99 8.43–15.55 7.47–16.51 | 25.57 18.08–33.06 16.03–35.11 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.50 4.78–12.32 | 7.18 4.50–9.86 3.76–10.60 | 15.73 10.11–21.35 8.54–22.92 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.95–5.80 | 2.75 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.13 2.59–9.66 1.56–10.70 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.62–6.69 | 9.23 5.02–13.44 3.91–14.55 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.11 42.32–55.90 40.65–57.57 | 50.56 43.77–57.34 42.10–59.01 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 407 340–475 322–493 | 440 373–506 356–524 | 847 714–981 678–1017 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.83 76.80–84.86 75.51–86.15 | 83.24 78.91–87.56 77.60–88.87 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.80 7.96–13.64 7.21–14.39 | 14.57 11.63–17.52 10.88–18.26 | 25.37 19.59–31.16 18.09–32.66 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.31 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.45 | 2.53 1.40–3.65 1.11–3.95 | 4.66 2.48–6.83 1.92–7.39 | 34% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.22 1.66–4.77 1.24–5.20 | 6.22 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.