Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
28%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.192.39safe0.23–2.170.34–2.050.57–4.21safer0.00–2.420.11–2.270.09–4.69
Shots on target
41%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.877.60safe1.87–5.592.12–5.613.99–11.20safer1.38–6.081.66–6.073.04–12.16
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9711.6923.66safe8.05–15.908.13–15.2516.18–31.15safer6.96–16.997.17–16.2114.13–33.20
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction7.626.8214.44safe4.67–10.564.14–9.508.82–20.06safer3.84–11.393.41–10.247.25–21.63
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.826.16safe1.45–5.221.17–4.482.62–9.69safer0.91–5.760.68–4.971.58–10.73
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.249.19safe2.74–7.172.24–6.244.98–13.41safer2.17–7.741.71–6.773.87–14.52
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.4057.51safe35.61–49.1950.73–64.30safer33.94–50.8649.06–65.97
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction367505872safe300–434439–572739–1006safer282–452421–589703–1042
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction79.8884.69safe75.85–83.9080.37–89.01safer74.55–85.2079.06–90.32
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9713.6526.63safe10.14–15.8110.71–16.6020.84–32.41safer9.38–16.579.96–17.3519.34–33.91
Offsides
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.612.96safe0.19–2.510.52–2.700.71–5.22safer0.00–2.810.23–2.990.12–5.80
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.314.21safe0.85–2.951.18–3.442.03–6.39safer0.58–3.210.89–3.731.47–6.94
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.615.27safe1.23–4.101.05–4.162.28–8.26safer0.84–4.490.63–4.591.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.27 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 36% 28% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.73 1.87–5.59 1.38–6.08 | 3.87 2.12–5.61 1.66–6.07 | 7.60 3.99–11.20 3.04–12.16 | 41% 15% 45% |
| Total shots | 11.97 8.05–15.90 6.96–16.99 | 11.69 8.13–15.25 7.17–16.21 | 23.66 16.18–31.15 14.13–33.20 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.62 4.67–10.56 3.84–11.39 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.41–10.24 | 14.44 8.82–20.06 7.25–21.63 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 2.82 1.17–4.48 0.68–4.97 | 6.16 2.62–9.69 1.58–10.73 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.74 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.71–6.77 | 9.19 4.98–13.41 3.87–14.52 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 42.40 35.61–49.19 33.94–50.86 | 57.51 50.73–64.30 49.06–65.97 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 367 300–434 282–452 | 505 439–572 421–589 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.88 75.85–83.90 74.55–85.20 | 84.69 80.37–89.01 79.06–90.32 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.14–15.81 9.38–16.57 | 13.65 10.71–16.60 9.96–17.35 | 26.63 20.84–32.41 19.34–33.91 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 2.96 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.80 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.47–6.94 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.61 1.05–4.16 0.63–4.59 | 5.27 2.28–8.26 1.46–9.07 | 42% 18% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+