Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.203.01safe0.84–2.780.35–2.061.19–4.83safer0.59–3.030.12–2.290.71–5.31
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.413.889.30safe3.55–7.282.14–5.635.69–12.90safer3.06–7.771.68–6.094.74–13.86
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1511.4626.61safe11.23–19.087.89–15.0219.12–34.10safer10.14–20.176.93–15.9817.07–36.15
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.877.5716.44safe5.93–11.814.89–10.2510.81–22.06safer5.10–12.644.15–10.999.25–23.63
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.782.946.72safe1.89–5.661.29–4.603.18–10.26safer1.35–6.200.80–5.092.15–11.29
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.733.979.70safe3.52–7.951.97–5.975.49–13.91safer2.95–8.521.43–6.504.38–15.02
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.6140.73safe52.82–66.4033.95–47.52safer51.15–68.0732.28–49.19
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction511357868safe444–579290–423734–1002safer426–597273–441699–1038
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction84.3379.03safe80.30–88.3674.70–83.35safer79.01–89.6573.39–84.66
Fouls
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1612.8526.01safe10.33–16.009.90–15.7920.23–31.80safer9.57–16.769.16–16.5418.73–33.30
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.923.61safe0.53–2.850.83–3.021.36–5.87safer0.23–3.150.54–3.300.77–6.45
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.234.34safe1.06–3.161.10–3.362.16–6.52safer0.79–3.420.81–3.651.60–7.08
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.486.28safe1.37–4.241.92–5.033.29–9.27safer0.98–4.631.50–5.462.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.28 3.06–7.77 | 3.88 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.15 11.23–19.08 10.14–20.17 | 11.46 7.89–15.02 6.93–15.98 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 8.87 5.93–11.81 5.10–12.64 | 7.57 4.89–10.25 4.15–10.99 | 16.44 10.81–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 2.94 1.29–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 6.72 3.18–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.43–6.50 | 9.70 5.49–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 59.61 52.82–66.40 51.15–68.07 | 40.73 33.95–47.52 32.28–49.19 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 511 444–579 426–597 | 357 290–423 273–441 | 868 734–1002 699–1038 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.33 80.30–88.36 79.01–89.65 | 79.03 74.70–83.35 73.39–84.66 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 13.16 10.33–16.00 9.57–16.76 | 12.85 9.90–15.79 9.16–16.54 | 26.01 20.23–31.80 18.73–33.30 | 49% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.92 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.30 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.45 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.79–3.42 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.60–7.08 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.48 1.92–5.03 1.50–5.46 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.48–10.09 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.