Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
29%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.182.18safe0.04–1.970.32–2.030.36–4.01safer0.00–2.230.09–2.260.00–4.49
Shots on target
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.977.30safe1.47–5.192.23–5.713.69–10.90safer0.98–5.681.76–6.182.74–11.86
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2712.6323.91safe7.35–15.209.07–16.1916.42–31.39safer6.26–16.298.11–17.1514.37–33.44
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.047.2314.26safe4.09–9.984.55–9.918.64–19.89safer3.26–10.813.81–10.647.07–21.45
Blocked shots
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.386.39safe1.13–4.891.73–5.042.86–9.93safer0.58–5.431.24–5.531.82–10.96
Corners
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.708.92safe2.01–6.432.70–6.704.71–13.14safer1.43–7.012.17–7.233.60–14.24
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.2253.38safe39.43–53.0146.60–60.17safer37.76–54.6844.93–61.84
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction399457856safe332–466391–524722–990safer314–484373–541687–1025
Pass accuracy %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction80.7783.33safe76.74–84.7979.01–87.66safer75.44–86.0977.70–88.97
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4613.1825.64safe9.62–15.3010.24–16.1319.86–31.42safer8.86–16.059.49–16.8718.35–32.93
Offsides
42%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.523.22safe0.55–2.870.42–2.610.97–5.48safer0.24–3.170.14–2.900.38–6.07
Yellow cards
35%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.394.48safe1.04–3.141.26–3.522.30–6.65safer0.77–3.400.97–3.811.74–7.21
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
48%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.445.30safe1.43–4.300.88–4.002.31–8.29safer1.04–4.690.46–4.421.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.97 0.00–2.23 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.18 0.36–4.01 0.00–4.49 | 31% 29% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.33 1.47–5.19 0.98–5.68 | 3.97 2.23–5.71 1.76–6.18 | 7.30 3.69–10.90 2.74–11.86 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Total shots | 11.27 7.35–15.20 6.26–16.29 | 12.63 9.07–16.19 8.11–17.15 | 23.91 16.42–31.39 14.37–33.44 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.04 4.09–9.98 3.26–10.81 | 7.23 4.55–9.91 3.81–10.64 | 14.26 8.64–19.89 7.07–21.45 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.01 1.13–4.89 0.58–5.43 | 3.38 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 6.39 2.86–9.93 1.82–10.96 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.22 2.01–6.43 1.43–7.01 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.17–7.23 | 8.92 4.71–13.14 3.60–14.24 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Possession % | 46.22 39.43–53.01 37.76–54.68 | 53.38 46.60–60.17 44.93–61.84 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 399 332–466 314–484 | 457 391–524 373–541 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.77 76.74–84.79 75.44–86.09 | 83.33 79.01–87.66 77.70–88.97 | — | 35% 61% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.62–15.30 8.86–16.05 | 13.18 10.24–16.13 9.49–16.87 | 25.64 19.86–31.42 18.35–32.93 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 42% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.40 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.48 2.30–6.65 1.74–7.21 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 2.44 0.88–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 5.30 2.31–8.29 1.50–9.11 | 48% 18% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.