Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.863.053.90safe0.00–1.822.19–3.902.08–5.72safer0.00–2.081.96–4.131.60–6.20
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.427.0310.45safe1.56–5.295.28–8.776.85–14.06safer1.07–5.784.82–9.235.89–15.01
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1417.9228.06safe6.21–14.0614.36–21.4820.57–35.54safer5.12–15.1513.40–22.4418.52–37.59
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4912.6318.11safe2.54–8.439.95–15.3112.49–23.74safer1.72–9.269.21–16.0410.92–25.30
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.724.867.58safe0.84–4.613.21–6.514.05–11.12safer0.30–5.152.72–7.013.01–12.16
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.176.329.49safe0.96–5.394.32–8.325.28–13.70safer0.39–5.963.79–8.854.17–14.81
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.2661.67safe30.47–44.0554.89–68.46safer28.80–45.7253.22–70.13
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction307500806safe240–374433–566673–940safer221–392416–584637–976
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction76.4585.56safe72.42–80.4881.24–89.89safer71.13–81.7779.93–91.20
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6113.6925.30safe8.78–14.4510.74–16.6319.52–31.08safer8.02–15.2110.00–17.3818.01–32.59
Offsides
30%
18%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.774.88safe0.96–3.281.67–3.862.63–7.14safer0.66–3.581.38–4.152.04–7.73
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.903.79safe0.84–2.940.77–3.031.61–5.97safer0.57–3.210.48–3.321.05–6.53
Red cards
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.110.30safe0.03–0.350.00–0.300.00–0.64safer0.00–0.500.00–0.430.00–0.93
GK saves
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.372.496.87safe2.94–5.810.94–4.053.88–9.86safer2.55–6.200.51–4.483.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.08 | 3.05 2.19–3.90 1.96–4.13 | 3.90 2.08–5.72 1.60–6.20 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 3.42 1.56–5.29 1.07–5.78 | 7.03 5.28–8.77 4.82–9.23 | 10.45 6.85–14.06 5.89–15.01 | 83% |
| Total shots | 10.14 6.21–14.06 5.12–15.15 | 17.92 14.36–21.48 13.40–22.44 | 28.06 20.57–35.54 18.52–37.59 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 5.49 2.54–8.43 1.72–9.26 | 12.63 9.95–15.31 9.21–16.04 | 18.11 12.49–23.74 10.92–25.30 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.72 0.84–4.61 0.30–5.15 | 4.86 3.21–6.51 2.72–7.01 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.16 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 3.17 0.96–5.39 0.39–5.96 | 6.32 4.32–8.32 3.79–8.85 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 81% |
| Possession % | 37.26 30.47–44.05 28.80–45.72 | 61.67 54.89–68.46 53.22–70.13 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 307 240–374 221–392 | 500 433–566 416–584 | 806 673–940 637–976 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.45 72.42–80.48 71.13–81.77 | 85.56 81.24–89.89 79.93–91.20 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.78–14.45 8.02–15.21 | 13.69 10.74–16.63 10.00–17.38 | 25.30 19.52–31.08 18.01–32.59 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 2.77 1.67–3.86 1.38–4.15 | 4.88 2.63–7.14 2.04–7.73 | 30% 18% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.21 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.53 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.30 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.93 | 15% 76% |
| GK saves | 4.37 2.94–5.81 2.55–6.20 | 2.49 0.94–4.05 0.51–4.48 | 6.87 3.88–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 70% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.