Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.923.02safe1.13–3.070.07–1.771.20–4.84safer0.88–3.320.00–2.000.72–5.32
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.863.659.50safe3.99–7.721.90–5.395.90–13.11safer3.50–8.211.44–5.864.94–14.06
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3510.3426.69safe12.43–20.286.77–13.9019.20–34.18safer11.33–21.375.82–14.8617.15–36.23
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.466.2117.68safe8.52–14.413.53–8.8912.05–23.30safer7.69–15.242.79–9.6310.49–24.87
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.816.71safe2.02–5.791.16–4.463.18–10.25safer1.48–6.330.66–4.962.14–11.29
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.729.67safe3.74–8.161.72–5.725.46–13.88safer3.16–8.741.19–6.254.35–14.99
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction55.1145.67safe48.32–61.9038.88–52.45safer46.65–63.5737.21–54.12
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction466386852safe399–534320–452719–986safer381–552302–470683–1022
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction78.7776.07safe74.74–82.8071.74–80.39safer73.44–84.0970.43–81.70
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7613.2926.05safe9.92–15.6010.35–16.2320.27–31.83safer9.17–16.359.60–16.9818.76–33.34
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.543.86safe1.16–3.480.44–2.631.60–6.11safer0.86–3.780.15–2.921.01–6.70
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.524.37safe0.80–2.891.39–3.652.19–6.55safer0.53–3.161.10–3.941.63–7.10
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.340.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.606.11safe1.08–3.952.04–5.163.12–9.11safer0.69–4.341.62–5.582.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 0.92 0.07–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.86 3.99–7.72 3.50–8.21 | 3.65 1.90–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 9.50 5.90–13.11 4.94–14.06 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.35 12.43–20.28 11.33–21.37 | 10.34 6.77–13.90 5.82–14.86 | 26.69 19.20–34.18 17.15–36.23 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.46 8.52–14.41 7.69–15.24 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.79–9.63 | 17.68 12.05–23.30 10.49–24.87 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.66–4.96 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.29 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.95 3.74–8.16 3.16–8.74 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.19–6.25 | 9.67 5.46–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.11 48.32–61.90 46.65–63.57 | 45.67 38.88–52.45 37.21–54.12 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 386 320–452 302–470 | 852 719–986 683–1022 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.77 74.74–82.80 73.44–84.09 | 76.07 71.74–80.39 70.43–81.70 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 12.76 9.92–15.60 9.17–16.35 | 13.29 10.35–16.23 9.60–16.98 | 26.05 20.27–31.83 18.76–33.34 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 3.86 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.37 2.19–6.55 1.63–7.10 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.60 2.04–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 6.11 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.