Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
19%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.932.263.18safe0.00–1.891.40–3.111.36–5.01safer0.00–2.151.17–3.340.88–5.48
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.126.559.66safe1.25–4.984.80–8.296.06–13.27safer0.76–5.474.34–8.755.10–14.22
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0017.6127.60safe6.08–13.9214.04–21.1720.12–35.09safer4.98–15.0213.08–22.1318.07–37.14
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7211.3517.07safe2.78–8.668.67–14.0311.45–22.69safer1.95–9.497.93–14.779.88–24.26
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.677.09safe0.54–4.313.01–6.323.56–10.63safer0.00–4.852.52–6.812.52–11.66
Corners
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.596.329.91safe1.38–5.804.32–8.325.70–14.12safer0.80–6.383.78–8.854.59–15.23
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.9862.26safe31.19–44.7755.47–69.04safer29.52–46.4453.80–70.71
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction325522848safe258–393456–589714–981safer240–411438–606678–1017
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction74.3884.49safe70.35–78.4180.17–88.82safer69.06–79.7078.86–90.13
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.2126.26safe10.21–15.8910.26–16.1520.48–32.04safer9.46–16.659.52–16.9018.97–33.55
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.673.53safe0.71–3.030.57–2.761.28–5.79safer0.41–3.330.28–3.050.69–6.38
Yellow cards
50%
19%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.014.54safe1.48–3.570.88–3.142.36–6.72safer1.21–3.840.59–3.431.80–7.27
Red cards
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.190.130.32safe0.03–0.350.00–0.320.00–0.66safer0.00–0.500.00–0.450.00–0.95
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.316.82safe3.07–5.940.75–3.873.83–9.81safer2.68–6.330.33–4.293.01–10.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.15 | 2.26 1.40–3.11 1.17–3.34 | 3.18 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.48 | 14% 19% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.25–4.98 0.76–5.47 | 6.55 4.80–8.29 4.34–8.75 | 9.66 6.06–13.27 5.10–14.22 | 83% |
| Total shots | 10.00 6.08–13.92 4.98–15.02 | 17.61 14.04–21.17 13.08–22.13 | 27.60 20.12–35.09 18.07–37.14 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.72 2.78–8.66 1.95–9.49 | 11.35 8.67–14.03 7.93–14.77 | 17.07 11.45–22.69 9.88–24.26 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.42 0.54–4.31 0.00–4.85 | 4.67 3.01–6.32 2.52–6.81 | 7.09 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.59 1.38–5.80 0.80–6.38 | 6.32 4.32–8.32 3.78–8.85 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 15% 76% |
| Possession % | 37.98 31.19–44.77 29.52–46.44 | 62.26 55.47–69.04 53.80–70.71 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 325 258–393 240–411 | 522 456–589 438–606 | 848 714–981 678–1017 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.38 70.35–78.41 69.06–79.70 | 84.49 80.17–88.82 78.86–90.13 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.21–15.89 9.46–16.65 | 13.21 10.26–16.15 9.52–16.90 | 26.26 20.48–32.04 18.97–33.55 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.53 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.53 1.48–3.57 1.21–3.84 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 4.54 2.36–6.72 1.80–7.27 | 50% 19% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.19 0.03–0.35 0.00–0.50 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.32 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.95 | 15% 75% |
| GK saves | 4.51 3.07–5.94 2.68–6.33 | 2.31 0.75–3.87 0.33–4.29 | 6.82 3.83–9.81 3.01–10.62 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.